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AI/Automation

The Impact of AI on Jobs: Some Non-Linear Thinking

It's always the elephant in the room when the topic of artificial intelligence (AI) is raised, whether in small or large groups of people -- the impact on jobs.

That's pretty much the case for any industry vertical, including telecoms -- here's a selection of Light Reading coverage of the topic from the past year or so:

So how should we be thinking about this topic in a non-sensationalist way? Mark Beccue, principal analyst and member of the Artificial Intelligence and User Interface Technologies team at market research firm Tractica (a sister research outfit to Light Reading), has answered this question in a very insightful article that highlights the need to focus on non-linear, abstract thinking: Crucially, he notes that such thinking is not limited to a niche set of jobs.

Check out his article, Outsmarting AI for Jobs.

Beccue will also feature in the line-up at the forthcoming Telco AI Summit Europe in London if you wanted to join me in asking him more about this vital topic.

— Ray Le Maistre, Editor-in-Chief, Light Reading

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raytseng 10/30/2019 | 8:07:11 PM
Article misses the point. ML is already impacting jobs. This article has a good head line, but other than posing the question, doesn't offer much real insight. It also misses some big trends. For example:

 

1. Trucking is the #1 job in 29 US states:

https://www.rtsinc.com/articles/why-trucking-still-america-s-number-one-job

Autonomous driving is not about short distance (ie Uber), it's about replacing the truck drivers!

https://www.theverge.com/2019/1/11/18174275/daimler-tesla-self-driving-trucks-tusimple-ces-2019

... so what's the impact of 2-3 million truck drivers out of a job? this doesn't count the support network such as truck stops, motels, diners along the long haul routes.

 

2. RPA is the fastest growing segment in Enterprise software in 2018:

https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2019-06-24-gartner-says-worldwide-robotic-process-automation-sof

These guys are not getting billions in funding to replace low end jobs. They are after repetitive knowledge work in HR, marketing, accounting across the corporate landscape. These are traditionally good jobs already moving to lower wage countries. Soon even those countries will not be able to compete so both the original segments AND the outsourcing industry will be heavily impacted.

These are just a couple of glaring examples where the sensationalism is not far fetched. It's just missed the fact that AI doesn't have to be HAL2000 to have a huge impact on jobs. Even relatively unsophisticated ML will decimate jobs within the next 5-10 years.
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