China Still Bothers Finisar

After another brutal earnings forecast, Finisar got asked a lot about China and ROADMs

Craig Matsumoto, Editor-in-Chief, Light Reading

June 16, 2011

2 Min Read
China Still Bothers Finisar

After announcing a disappointing earnings outlook Wednesday, Finisar Corp. (Nasdaq: FNSR) executives insisted that the weakened sales they're seeing in China are a temporary condition and not a sign of something bigger. (See Finisar Tanks Guidance (Again).)

An inventory buildup in optical components and a general slowdown in China's optical network buildouts have gone on for two quarters now, but Finisar characterized those factors as a short-term blip. "We don't believe they have a huge amount of inventories there. We believe it's a combination of end-market demand and some inventory," Finisar CEO Eitan Gertel said on Wednesday's conference call with analysts.

It's an important point for the optical components industry, because a lengthy pause in China's optical buildout would probably cause a lot of trouble. Finisar didn't shed much light on how much longer a China slowdown might last, though.

Beyond that, Finisar executives had to answer suggestions that the company is just plain losing market share, especially in reconfigurable optical add/drop multiplexers (ROADMs) and especially to JDSU (Nasdaq: JDSU; Toronto: JDU). "To the best of our knowledge, there is no share loss at all," Gertel said.

Analyst Ed Zabitsky of ACI Research , who had been predicting inventory problems in optical components, thinks there's still one or two more quarters of inventory burn-off to go, as he wrote in a research note published Wednesday night.

Zabitsky does expect the ROADM market to come back by the end of the year, but he doesn't sound optimistic about a reignition of Chinese demand. "Over 90 percent of all cell sites in China are now fiber-connected. Do not expect that business to come back for Finisar anytime in the near future," he wrote.

— Craig Matsumoto, West Coast Editor, Light Reading

About the Author(s)

Craig Matsumoto

Editor-in-Chief, Light Reading

Yes, THAT Craig Matsumoto – who used to be at Light Reading from 2002 until 2013 and then went away and did other stuff and now HE'S BACK! As Editor-in-Chief. Go Craig!!

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