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Verizon & Vodafone Challenge NG-PON2 Vendors on Price

BERLIN -- Broadband World Forum 2017 -- Verizon and Vodafone have put further pressure on NG-PON2 vendors to lower equipment costs as they gear up for investment in the nascent fiber-network technology.

Both operators remain committed to the standard, which has emerged as one of several next-generation network technologies that have grabbed operators' attention. But they continue to complain about the cost of the optical equipment being designed for NG-PON2 networks.

In a presentation at today's Broadband World Forum in Berlin, Vincent O'Byrne, a technology director at Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), said the optics ecosystem still needed more options to help drive down costs.

His remarks were later echoed by Marco Boselli, a fixed access engineer at Vodafone Group plc (NYSE: VOD), who told attendees that costs still remained too high despite some evidence of progress.

Much of the concern centers on the expense of the tunable optical transceivers that are used with NG-PON2. In theory, these should give operators more flexibility and capability than the fixed optics used in XGS-PON, an alternative standard that some operators prefer as a short-term solution.

Yet while shipment volumes remain low, equipment prices currently remain "prohibitive," according to Boselli.

The issue is now critical for Verizon, which aims to deploy services based on NG-PON2 for its business customers either this year or next. Indeed, O'Byrne had raised concern about optical equipment costs this time last year, at the Broadband World Forum event in London, but expressed optimism that it would be only "a matter of time" before prices fell to an acceptable level. (See Service Provider Split Emerges Over NG-PON2 Upgrade.)

Broadband equipment vendors including Adtran Inc. (Nasdaq: ADTN), Calix Inc. (NYSE: CALX) and Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) have acknowledged there is a cost challenge when it comes to NG-PON2.

Speaking to Light Reading on the sidelines of today's event, Ronan Kelly, the chief technology officer of Adtran, said that NG-PON2 transceiver shipments would have to rise dramatically, ultimately hitting a "tens of millions" mark, to bring costs down to a level that would satisfy some operators.

Ana Pesovic, the fixed networks marketing director for Finland's Nokia, said the industry should take encouragement from what happened with GPON, an older fiber-network technology now in widespread use.

"In the beginning GPON was very expensive," Pesovic said during a workshop at the Broadband World Forum. "More than ten years ago the ONT [optical network terminal] was $700 and today we are at $50. As the volumes have been growing the price of the ONT has been declining."


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Despite arguing that costs remain too high, Vodafone's Boselli reckons that optical line terminal costs have been dropping as operators bypass other technologies and as more vendors launch products.

He also thinks progress on equipment interoperability -- something operators are desperate to realize as they try to avoid vendor "lock-in" -- could help to reduce prices.

For all the wrangling over equipment prices, NG-PON2 has now won backing from some of the world's biggest service providers, including not only Verizon and Vodafone but also European and US cable giant Altice .

Luis Alveirinho, the director of engineering and network operations for Altice subsidiary Portugal Telecom SGPS SA (NYSE: PT), said his company was already installing NG-PON2 and would soon launch a gigabit-speed consumer offering based on the technology.

Nevertheless, some operators, including Verizon rival AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), believe that investing in XGS-PON in the short term before migrating to NG-PON2 at a later stage makes greater commercial sense.

Adtran's Kelly says that operators taking the NG-PON2 plunge want to avoid having to go through more than one upgrade cycle. They hope to realize cost savings and efficiency improvements by running their enterprise, residential and mobile backhaul services over a single NG-PON2 platform, he says.

Doing the same with XGS-PON would be more difficult, says Kelly, because that technology does not offer the same degree of flexibility.

— Iain Morris, News Editor, Light Reading

Duh! 10/24/2017 | 6:31:23 PM
Cracking the whip NG-PON2 ONT transceivers remain a technological challenge. G.989.2 specs are difficult to meet. They're even harder to meet at low cost, in volume, with consistent quality, within MSA package thermal budgets. There are a number of transmitter architectures, with different trade-offs in all these spaces, and the industry hasn't yet picked the winner.

The common sentiment is that the only way to meet the specs and all of the competing goals is with photonic integration. The problem is that such a device requires a lot up-front investment. A few companies have that technology, and there is apparently some activity going on.

In the meantime, every existing NG-PON2 ONTs was built with sample parts. I don't expect to see production parts in 2017. Fully qualified and in high volume production will be further out.  The PIC-based parts are going to be something like a year further out than that.

Then there's the question of margins. Operator pricing pressure for GPON OLTs trickled down to the vendors who invested most heavily in GPON component technology. They are reported to not even have recovered their R&D investment. Suffice to say that none of the early GPON SFP/SFF vendors are early NG-PON2 vendors.

Draw your own conclusions.

 

 
brooks7 10/24/2017 | 11:36:12 AM
$100  

I think wrangling over price might be a bit of a problem.  I expect the SPs to want $100 per ONT.

seven

 
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