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What's Intel's Next Move?

Grab for TI's cable modem biz sets up a set-top clash with Broadcom, but is it enough to match rival's integration prowess?

Jeff Baumgartner

August 17, 2010

4 Min Read
What's Intel's Next Move?

Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) is adding one more piece to the do-it-all cable video gateway puzzle by purchasing Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN)'s cable modem business, but the chip giant may have to do more shopping if it's to match up with Broadcom Corp. (Nasdaq: BRCM)'s ability to develop super-integrated system–on-chips (SoCs) for advanced set-tops, TVs, and other broadband-connected devices. (See Intel Snares TI's Cable Modem Business .)

Companies that could top that list include Entropic Communications Inc. (Nasdaq: ENTR), the leading maker of Multimedia over Coax Alliance (MoCA) chipsets, and MaxLinear Corp. and Microtune Inc. (Nasdaq: TUNE), which make silicon tuners. Broadcom already has in-house answers to both of those components -- it makes its own silicon tuners and got its MoCA mojo going in 2007 when it bought Octalica for $31 million. (See Broadcom Jump Starts MOCA Strategy, Broadcom Stirs Up Trouble for Entropic , and MaxLinear Tunes Up Cable Power Play .)

On top of that, Broadcom also has its own wireless chipsets and video-rendering technology. By most accounts, Broadcom is the only entity that has all of those pieces in-hand and the integration prowess to bring them all together in one tight (and relatively cheap) package, create the subsequent SoCs, and plop them into consumer electronics (CE) video devices.

Until Intel came along and bought a piece of TI, the fear among industry insiders was that Broadcom would be positioned to take over the market unrivaled because no one else could mesh all of those pieces together nearly as cost-effectively. In addition to being outright cheaper, Broadcom's integration story also translates into smaller, "greener" devices that siphon less energy and give off less heat.

Intel already has the video processor piece covered and is going well with that product. The strategic acquisition of TI's cable modem business adds a Docsis front end. But it may need to do more.

The addition of Entropic and its MoCA technology could help complete Intel's whole-home networking picture, though such a deal would put a strain on Intel's connection with G.hn, an emerging home networking standard that covers powerlines, coax, and phonelines. (See Broadband Forum Gives Nod to G.hn.)

"It would make some sense," Heavy Reading senior analyst Alan Breznick says of a possible combination of Intel and Entropic. "It would give them another piece of the business and really go after Broadcom. Intel is certainly showing they are very serious about the cable space with this move to buy TI's cable modem business."

Broadcom also makes its own tuners. TI has historically partnered with third-party suppliers, most notably Microtune and, more recently, MaxLinear. TI, however, has typically viewed that as an advantage over Broadcom, touting its platform as more "open" because its gives OEM partners choices they can't get with Broadcom's über-integrated approach. It's too early to say if Intel will agree with TI's historic argument going forward, or if it adjusts its thinking and opts to snap up a tuning vendor and integrate that technology in-house.

Microtune has not indicated an interest in being bought by Intel or anyone else for that matter, but Intel's acquisition of TI's cable modem unit is something the Plano, Texas-based firm "definitely sees as a positive," says Carey Ritchey, VP and GM of Microtune's cable business, noting that he expects Intel to invest more heavily in the sector than TI was capable of doing on its own.

"We'll see some new architectures in the set-top space here pretty quickly" that factors in both IP and MPEG-based video traffic, he predicts.

Intel's warchest
Intel hasn't telegraphed its next move, but the company does have the scratch to make more. In February, reports said Intel had set up a $2 billion fund to invest in US companies and was in talks with venture capital firms to vet potential investment ideas.

If Intel were to make a move on the aforementioned, here's a financial snapshot of how they're stacking up:

Table 1:

Company

2Q2010 Revenues

2Q2009 Revenues

2Q2010 GAAP Earnings

2Q2009 GAAP Earnings

Market Cap

Stock Price*

Entropic

$40.7 million

$26.1 million

$3.1 million

-$4.3 million

$504.34 million

$6.90

Microtune

$24.34 million

$17.57 million

$400,000

-$2.2 million

$123.72 million

$2.23

MaxLinear

$18.2 million

$11.2 million

$1.8 million

$153,000

$316.63 million

$10.28

Source: Company data.*As of market close on August 16, 2010.





If Intel is successful in expanding its portfolio and making more inroads with cable, it could rapidly become the market favorite, Breznick predicts. "They're bigger than Broadcom, and they have a better feel for the consumer electronics market, which is where I think all of this is going."

— Jeff Baumgartner, Site Editor, Light Reading Cable

About the Author(s)

Jeff Baumgartner

Senior Editor, Light Reading

Jeff Baumgartner is a Senior Editor for Light Reading and is responsible for the day-to-day news coverage and analysis of the cable and video sectors. Follow him on X and LinkedIn.

Baumgartner also served as Site Editor for Light Reading Cable from 2007-2013. In between his two stints at Light Reading, he led tech coverage for Multichannel News and was a regular contributor to Broadcasting + Cable. Baumgartner was named to the 2018 class of the Cable TV Pioneers.

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