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Nvidia posts bumper Q3, but there may be trouble ahead

Chip powerhouse Nvidia posted what the company's top brass hailed as an "exceptional" fiscal Q3 2021 (ended October 25).

Quarterly revenue rocket-blasted to $4.73 billion, 57% up year-on-year. It smashed analysts' expectation of $4.41 billion.

GAAP income jumped 46% over the same period, to $1.34 billion.

Game on: A surge in demand for gaming chips and graphics cards has boosted Nvidia's Q3 results.  (Source: Nvidia)
Game on: A surge in demand for gaming chips and graphics cards has boosted Nvidia's Q3 results.
(Source: Nvidia)

Nvidia's gaming segment was a strong performer, drumming up a record $2.27 billion turnover (up 37% year-on-year).

Driving the bumper growth was Nvidia's second generation of Ampere architecture-based GeForce RTX 30 series of gaming GPUs, launched on September 1.

Speaking on the company's earnings conference (as transcribed by Seeking Alpha), CEO Jensen Huang said demand was "overwhelming." He added that the new gaming cards gave its installed base of some 200-million-plus GeForce gamers "the best reason to upgrade in over a decade."

Given the projected demand, Huang promised to "ramp fast," adding that it was going to be "one of our most successful ramps ever."

The data center segment saw Q3 revenue of $1.9 billion, a massive 162% hike year-on-year.

"We are continuing to raise the bar with NVIDIA AI," claimed Huang. "Our A100 compute platform is ramping fast, with the top cloud companies deploying it globally."

Pauses for thought

Amid the glowing Q3 numbers, CFO Colette Kress added some words of caution about the gaming segment going forward.

"While we had anticipated strong demand, it exceeded even our bullish expectations," she said. "Given industry-wide capacity constraints and long cycle times, it may take a few more months for product availability to catch up with demand."

Another potential worry for investors relates to Israeli data center networking specialist Mellanox, which Nvidia purchased for $6.9 billion in 2019.


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While Mellanox had another record quarter with double-digit sequential growth and contributed 13% of overall company revenue in Q3 – "well ahead of our expectations," said Kress – there was a caveat.

"The upside reflected sales to China OEM that will not recur in Q4," said the CFO. "As a result, we expect a meaningful sequential revenue decline from Mellanox in Q4, but still growing 30% from last year." The China OEM is believed to be Huawei.

In an interview with the Financial Times (paywall applies), however, Huang maintained that even without pushing forward business from the China OEM into Q3 (rather than wait until Q4), the quarter would still have beaten expectations.

Q4 revenue is expected to be $4.8 billion, plus or minus 2%.

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— Ken Wieland, contributing editor, special to Light Reading

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