SAN JOSE, Calif. -- According to Infonetics Research's new PON Equipment market share report, the number of PON subscribers worldwide will skyrocket 1,260% between 2004 and 2008, from 1.5 million to over 20.5 million.
Worldwide OLT and ONT PON equipment revenue will grow from $525 million in 2004 to $1.9 billion in 2008; ports will grow from 1.7 million to over 8 million.
"PON is growing rapidly in Asia Pacific, especially Japan, where over 2 million subscribers are already using BPON and EPON," said Michael Howard, principal analyst of Infonetics Research. "In comparison, PON is just beginning to take off in North America, as Verizon gets into high gear, quickly passing the deployment rates of IOCs and local governments. Worldwide PON revenue will get an 84% jump start between 2004 and 2006, with a major chunk coming from NTT and Verizon."
2004 Market Highlights
Hitachi leads worldwide PON revenue and port market share; Mitsubishi is second
Hitachi leads in Asia Pacific, Tellabs in North America, Motorola in EMEA, Alcatel in CALA
BPON made up 81% of North American and 75% of Asia Pacific PON revenue
BPON will drop from 77% of worldwide PON OLT revenue in 2004 to 41% in 2005; EPON will jump from 19% to 53%
GPON is gaining traction and will ultimately be the technology winner
76% of PON revenue came from Asia Pacific, 20% from North America, shifting to 38% and 40%, respectively, by 2008
Infonetics' report tracks BPON, EPON, and GPON equipment used in FTTH and FTTB applications. Forecasts and market share are included for North America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, CALA, and worldwide. Companies tracked: AFL, Alcatel, Alloptic, Calix, Carrier Access, ECI, Entrisphere, FlexLight, Fujitsu, Hitachi, iamba, LGE, Mitsubishi, Motorola, NEC, Optical Solutions, Siemens, Sumitomo, Tellabs, Telstrat, Terawave, UTStarcom, Zhone, others.
Infonetics Research Inc.