DT Sprint Bid 'Unlikely'

10:50 AM -- Analysts at Dresdner Kleinwort believe there's only a "20-30% possibility" that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) will make a bid for troubled U.S. carrier Sprint Corp. (NYSE: S). (See DT & Sprint: A Bargain in the Balance?)

In a research note issued Tuesday, the Dresdner team writes that it's likely the German carrier is examining such a bid.

However, the estimated negative impact of such a bid on DT's share price, which is under intense scrutiny by major DT shareholders such as The Blackstone Group , will probably kill off any Sprint acquisition aspirations, though the analysts believe there's still a slight chance of a bid, given Sprint's depressed stock and the current weakness of the dollar. (See DT Welcomes Blackstone.)

The Dresdner crew also provides a list of the problems any DT bid for Sprint would encounter:

  • A possible bidding war for the asset
  • Foreign ownership issues for major telco assets in the U.S.
  • U.S. antitrust clearance
  • Difficult execution in current market conditions
  • Negative news flow during the integration
  • Management credibility given domestic operational challenges
Is that all? Not much of a challenge, then...

Deutsche Telekom's share price is down $0.29, about 1.6 percent, to $17.64 today on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) , while Sprint is down $0.09, just more than 1 percent, to $8.63, giving it a market value of nearly $24.6 billion.

— Ray Le Maistre, International News Editor, Light Reading

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