North American cable operators are now working frantically to upgrade their RF networks to all-IP service delivery, but most cable industry observers don't believe that this historic transition will be completed any time soon, if ever.
In our recent Light Reading community poll, the biggest portion of readers said they think the all-IP shift will take at least another four years to carry out and quite possibly much longer. Plus, a sizable number said they believe that the transition will never be fully carried out, due to one hurdle or another.
Specifically, more than 35% of you said the industry's all-IP upgrade won't happen until 2018 or later. So the expectation is that the painful, time-consuming, and costly transition will drag on through at least most of this decade.
That total is a hair more than the 35% of the sample who believe the all-IP transition will be completed by the close of 2017. A mere 3% believe the transition will be completed this year and just 8% believe it will be completed next year.
Perhaps even more notably, some 30% of you don't believe that cable's IP upgrade will ever be completed, saying that it will simply never happen. That reveals a great deal of doubt about the industry's ability to carry out probably its most pressing mandate.
In all, then, 65% of readers think the all-IP transition will take at least four more years or will never happen. The poll drew a strong response on the Light Reading website, attracting more than 1,700 votes over a one-month span.
Leading cable technologists don't necessarily disagree with at least some of these results. Most have said that it could take the rest of the decade or more for cable operators to convert their systems to all-IP delivery networks. But they would insist that cable providers will get there eventually, however long it might take.
— Alan Breznick, Cable/Video Practice Leader, Light Reading