What's Really Behind Clearwire's Board Reshuffling?
But, seeing as nothing major has changed in the Clayton Act, Heavy Reading senior analyst Berge Ayvazian points out that something has probably changed within Clearwire and Sprint.
"My sense is that the structure of Clearwire's ownership at the moment is unstable," Ayvazian says. "They need additional funding, and they are unable to raise that funding given the current ownership structure."
Other investors like Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq: CMCSA, CMCSK) have been reluctant to invest further or have effectively written off their initial investment, he adds. Considering that, something has to change for Clearwire as they move into 2011.
A very plausible scenario is for Clearwire to be paving the way for new investors. It has been in talks with T-Mobile US Inc. for a while now about securing an equity investment from T-Mobile to use its WiMax network, spectrum the carrier lacks as of now. (See Clearwire & T-Mobile Still Talking.)
T-Mobile may be the most obvious candidate, but any number of 4G operators that need spectrum and need to make plans for 4G networks would be as well, Ayvazian says.
Of course, if this is to happen for Clearwire, then having antitrust concerns looming is problematic. By getting that out of the way, Clearwire could let new players in, and Sprint also has more flexibility to make its next move.
Ayvazian says Sprint could buy out the remaining 46 percent of Clearwire for full ownership, or it could do the opposite and carve a path to exiting with its assets still intact. "As they go through the initial steps, they are trying to address potential concerns about the Clayton Act in anticipation of change or to create the flexibility to enable changes, but we don’t know what they are," he says.
In the meantime, things are proceeding as planned for the companies, at least for the rest of 2010. They turned on WiMax service in two new markets, Pittsburgh and Minneapolis/St. Paul, today. That brings the 4G service to 55 cities, Sprint says, with some major market launches still to come before the end of the year. (See Sprint WiMaxes in Two More Markets.) — Sarah Reedy, Senior Reporter, Light Reading Mobile