lrmobile_millomar 12/5/2012 | 3:39:04 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes In Europe last month I was talking to a major operator about data. Some interesting facts:
* They introduced pricing for 3G data that is competitive with DSL. Result: lots of sales. Side effect: data through the network is up 7+ times in 6 months. You might say that dark spectrum is being lit up.
* "Busy Hour" - on most voice networks the hour before lunch - is now the hour after dinner.
* Traffic is not in the cities where they planned for it. It's in semi-rural and outer suburbs that are not well served by DSL.

What customers want is bits delivered quickly to the device. So there is a business case for delivery of data by 3G technology.
mvakulenko1 12/5/2012 | 3:38:34 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes Jeff, you are absolutely correct in your WiMAX posts. Does it really matter? I doubt. WiMAX hype and Intel dollar rain created so many executive and marketing jobs that people won't listen no matter what we say.

Today it may sound unthinkable, but in not so distant future Intel will exit WiMAX, and the whole thing will return where it started - Wireless DSL replacement for emerging markets.

We'll be meeting these same folks in their new jobs, and fight tempation of saying "We told you!..."
El Rupester 12/5/2012 | 3:38:20 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes "....and the whole thing will return where it started - Wireless DSL replacement for emerging markets"

Well, aside from Sprint, KDDI, KT and SK and a few others, you may well be right. Although, in most circumstances we probably wouldn't overlook those carriers, lets put them to one side.

What on earth is wrong with "wireless DSL for emergfing markets" ?

That is a vast opportunity, vastly bigger than most we concern ourselves with, and a lot of people are going to make a lot of money from it.

Do not forget, something like 4 out of 5 of the cellular subscribers are in emerging markets, and those are the ones growing.

"The first few hundred million cellphones were sold to rich people in rich countries who already had a copper phone line; the next two billion cvellphones were sold to poorer people in poorer countries who will never need a copper phone line"

So "wireless POTS for emerging markets" made a multi-multi-billion Dollar business.

I would be really happy to have a slice of the broadband successor to that.

IPobserver 12/5/2012 | 3:38:16 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes el rupester, what do think about HSPA as a wireless broadband technology for emerging markets?

No hope? Or in with a shot?

Performance at 850 MHz in Australia and U.S. is good. Equipment costs have come down a lot. There are fixed/wireless HSPA terminals on the market as well now.

Spectrum allocation is obviously a big barrier inm nay countries.
El Rupester 12/5/2012 | 3:38:09 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes Absolutely

My comment was that the market will be big, rather than it is a sure thing for WiMAX

I doubt EvDO or LTE are the big winners (economies of scale and roadmap; and timing respectively) but both HSPA and WiMAX would be well suited to wireless broadband and I'd expect both to sell lots.

Indeed, in markets like Austria we already see HSPA as a very substantial portion of broadband (almost equal to DSL I think?), and with the newer dongles that will grow.

That said, WiMAX does have a couple of strengths (spectrum, PC orientation, supplier base focussed on this market).
mvakulenko1 12/5/2012 | 3:37:51 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes There is nothing wrong with wireless DSL for emerging market. This is indeed large market with clear demand, and this is where WiMAX fits well.

My comment was about people pushing WiMAX as a technology competing with cellular. There is still surprisingly large number of people thinking WiMAX will displace cellular.
lrmobile_kumaramitabh 12/5/2012 | 3:34:50 PM
re: WiMax Folks: Open Your Eyes Negative articles on WiMAX are not new.. If such views would have transformed themselves into reality, wimax would be dead.

But it is alive and kicking and that too on its strengths, which at present can not be matched by any technology existing or on the near horizon.

In fact new networks are now being launched almost one a week.

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