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I'm somewhat amazed that nobody has yet commented on the obvious solution - and one which is (quietly) gaining support as a backup.
That is the notion of using a version of SVLTE but for simultaneous dual-radio support of both LTE and GSM/UMTS. So just as in CDMA smartphones, where we get concurrent data-on-LTE + voice-on-CDMA, we'd move to the equivalent for 3GPP networks.
Dual-radio LTE+GSM/UMTS makes a huge amount of sense, and discussions I've had suggest that various device & silicon vendors have it as an option.
The argument about battery life won't wash - you could partition off 200MAh which is probably enough to power an efficient GSM phone for a week. More tricky is the registration (you might need two SIMs or 2 IMSIs) but that could end up being a feature rather than a problem.
The problems of CS Fallback are not restricted to the call setup time (which in some circumstances can add >2 secs I've heard - tell that to your emergency-calling legal team). The killer is the fact that the data connection drops when you get or make a phone call, possibly (if you're lucky and in coverage) reconnecting on 2G/3G.
That is such an old-school view of the world (ie telephony is *always* the most important thing you'd do on a "phone") that it's almost prehistoric. So the CFO signing off the end-of-quarter spreadsheets on a mobile cloud-based version of SAP loses the connection when he gets a call from a doubleglazing salesman? Or the kid downloading a (paid!) video or app gets it interrupted when a parent calls, and then calls customer service to make sure he wasn't charged twice?
In an era of multitasking phones & people, it seems incredible that we're deploying a brand-new technology intended for single-tasking.
As a side-effect, it will make it *so* much easier for people to justify using Skype or Viber on LTE for their most important contacts, just dropping down to circuit voice as a lowest-common denominator when they absolutely need to.
VoLTE will probably be the long-term solution for some (but definitely not all) LTE operators, although I have my doubts about the Q1 2013 timeframe. I reckon it'll be 2015-2016 before it's fully robust enough for massmarket deployment.
Plenty of other LTE operators will either not do a dedicated telephony service at all, or will deploy another version of SIP-based NGN VoIP, or just partner with Microsoft/Skype, Google or whoever. We may even see HTML5 browsers with WebRTC maturing quickly enough to support speech via the web by then.
All these are topics discussed in my Future of Voice workshops, run with Martin Geddes. www.futureofcomms.com
Dean Bubley
Disruptive Analysis