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12/5/2012 | 4:45:31 PM
re: LTE: Solidity & Uncertainity in 2012

At the current rate of network traffic growth there will be nationwide network collapse in 2012.   The network outages will be so common that it will be a feature of interent and soon people will not want to pay for the $30 a month for an unreliable service or worse $100 a month for their tripple play service that does not work and as a result the investments in the networks will further decline and the vicious cycle will continue.  

Verizon's network has already collapsed: http://www.slashgear.com/verizon-users-see-third-december-data-downtime-are-you-connected-28204859/ and they were supposed be the best of the wireless pigs.

Sprint is ripping out the unliminted contracts with thier users and putting them in plans that are not only more expensive but also cost balooning traps.  ATT is in a league of its own in poor coverage and poor bandwidth that is effectively representitive of a collapsed network. 

Wirelines are also in no good shape. ATT uverse and its DSL is frankly ATT, the comapny that has the name Telegraph in their name, so what do you expect.  Verizon's FIOS is a joke and running on a collapsed network so what good is the fat pipe if it is being fed with straws on a collapsed network.  Even comcast who has the best network is periodically going through sever congestion which is goign to get worse.  We are looking at a total collapse of internet as Metcalfe predicted back in the late 90's, but this time in 2012.




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