Its LTE all the way.. Will WiMAX find its own space at CTIA or is it gonna be squashed down under. Will LTE and WiMAX Consolidate.. Now that there are talks of all the entire networks consolidating and the vendors running it
Well, I don't know about "squashed down under," WiMax still has a place in the market - and it has a lead on LTE. But this year's CTIA must be a big LTE fest because of Verizon's moves.
"Now that there are talks of all the entire networks consolidating and the vendors running it" ... Interesting, can you elaborate there?
Why haven't we heard more about VZW shortage of 700Mhz spectrum (20Mhz) to deal with what everyone is predicting will be a massive increase in demand for bandwidth to address the increase in streaming Video or the pressure MultiPlayer gaming will place on these new 4G mobile networks. Here a few excerpts from an article addressing Mobile Broadband Spectrum Demands:
1. a typical web video on a smartphone takes 100 times more bandwidth then a phone call. No one has extimated what 20-30 multiplayer gamers will consume within any one sector using video/graphics and voice interfaces as those to be provided by the new OnLive Gaming network.
2. Data traffic will increase 250-600 times by 2018 while voice minutes will only triple.
3. predictions are that 3-4 users streaming video in a sector may have a serious impact on all traffic in a sector-estimate that it would reduce throughput 60%
4. Multiple analyst state that for a provider to deliver a true 4G level network they would need a minimum of 30-40Mhz of spectrum.
How much does VZW have: 20Mhz max unless FCC gives them the Public Safety 10 Mhz of 700Mhz spectrum waiting auction.
I am sure there are other pertinent facts I have missed here.
If you ask Ericsson what they think, they will tell you they will have no problem with the future demands on their LTE technologies. VZW had better make sure they have a detailed and legal plan to restict consumption by their customers in all markets.
Why haven't we heard more about VZW shortage of 700Mhz spectrum (20Mhz) to deal with what everyone is predicting will be a massive increase in demand for bandwidth to address the increase in streaming Video or the pressure MultiPlayer gaming will place on these new 4G mobile networks. Here a few excerpts from an article addressing Mobile Broadband Spectrum Demands:
1. a typical web video on a smartphone takes 100 times more bandwidth then a phone call. No one has extimated what 20-30 multiplayer gamers will consume within any one sector using video/graphics and voice interfaces as those to be provided by the new OnLive Gaming network.
2. Data traffic will increase 250-600 times by 2018 while voice minutes will only triple.
3. predictions are that 3-4 users streaming video in a sector may have a serious impact on all traffic in a sector-estimate that it would reduce throughput 60%
4. Multiple analyst state that for a provider to deliver a true 4G level network they would need a minimum of 30-40Mhz of spectrum.
How much does VZW have: 20Mhz max unless FCC gives them the Public Safety 10 Mhz of 700Mhz spectrum waiting auction.
I am sure there are other pertinent facts I have missed here.
If you ask Ericsson what they think, they will tell you they will have no problem with the future demands on their LTE technologies. VZW had better make sure they have a detailed and legal plan to restrict consumption by their customers in all markets.
re: CTIA 2009 Preview: Verizon's LTE PartyOvum has been predicting for quite some time now - and so have been others - that there will be increasingly active forms of sharing.
the article is as ---
Network sharing in 2020: just one big infra?
After the savings of passive sharing have been realised, where can reductions come from in future? Ovum predicts that operators will seek increasingly active forms of sharing.
While sharing ever more of their infrastructure might sound ridiculous today, all forms of sharing sounded ridiculous ten years ago.
Greater sharing of network assets will be driven by a combination of data demands driving up capacity needs, competition eroding prices and the propagation characteristics of Long-Term Evolution (LTE) requiring more sites. LTE will be a mature technology too by then and its efficiency gains will have already been largely realised.
The result will be a dwindling number of physical mobile networks, until some markets at the forefront of this trend are left with just one mobile network, including the RAN, backhaul and even transport elements of the core. However, some elements may remain independent, particularly at integrated operators in which proprietary legacy systems cannot be incorporated, or the operator doesnGÇÖt want to.
2020 wonGÇÖt see the conclusion of this trend, but its advent will certainly be apparent, most noticeably in Europe and particularly the UK.
The notion is not entirely far-fetched nor without precedent. Functional separation is becoming increasingly common in fixed telecoms, again with the UK leading the way. For mobile market forces are leading to a single network, rather than a dominant player being forced to open up its network.
Vendors could end up operating the single network
An interesting facet of recent announcements has been EricssonGÇÖs role. It could end up managing the networks for four of the UKGÇÖs five operators, if it adds O2 GÇô highly likely given its experience with the combined T-Mobile and 3 venture, MBNL. In the long-term future, why not let it operate the single, shared network? TodayGÇÖs mobile network operators could become service retailers.
WeGÇÖre not suggesting that Ericsson has hidden plans to morph into a mobile wholesaler, but following the chain of events to its logical conclusion, this is a reasonable conclusion. And of course EricssonGÇÖs rivals will be joining the managed services fray.
ThereGÇÖs also the option of nationalising the network. The banking industry is currently undergoing this process, so why not?
Mobile regulation would have to evolve
Regulation of mobile services has focused on infrastructure-based competition since the industryGÇÖs inception. Only over the last couple of years has there been a shift in ideology towards more services-based rivalry, starting with the fixed network, but increasingly now in mobile.
While many regulators impose limits on network sharing, the pressure to change will become unstoppable, with the change occurring at different rates in different markets. How will regulators deal with the process of transferring ownership of spectrum and infrastructure to an infrastructure vendor? Mobile regulation must evolve.
If there is a single infrastructure, those with significant market power in the future will be todayGÇÖs vendors. TodayGÇÖs MNOs will effectively be MVNOs.
In markets where vendors control networks, surely their own equipment will be favoured? From an infrastructure industry perspective this means a smaller global equipment market and managed services deals becoming crucial to survival. The only other survival strategy will be to innovate GÇô and thereby become indispensable to the mega-vendors/network operators.
Survival of the fittest
Following current trends to their ultimate conclusions highlights how change will affect operators, infrastructure vendors and regulators.
Who will be the winners and losers from all this? Commercial Darwinism will mean that those who can adapt will prosper. Those that cannot, or will not, will perish.
Its LTE all the way.. Will WiMAX find its own space at CTIA or is it gonna be squashed down under. Will LTE and WiMAX Consolidate.. Now that there are talks of all the entire networks consolidating and the vendors running it
SV