re: Cisco Sounds Warning BellsI don't get it. Cisco makes billions in profit and income and even though the US is in deep economic trouble, they plan to grow 10%. That doesn't sound great? I will never understand..
re: Cisco Sounds Warning BellsThere's the usual Wall Street reasoning -- that better growth was baked into the share price, so Cisco loses value with today's news.
The bigger question is what the implications are for everyone else in Cisco's space, particularly enterprise networking. If Cisco grows only 10%, does that mean even worse things for others? And is that a one-quarter dip, or the start of something longer and horrible? Lots of uncomfortable questions get opened up here.
re: Cisco Sounds Warning BellsIt is silly for anyone to believe a CEO when they try to predict an upturn in market conditions. The other CEO's that Chambers speaks to really don't know what their company is going to do in 6 months (look at Motorola).
This is similar to the "experts" predicting a quick turn around in the housing market... what planet are they living on!
re: Cisco Sounds Warning Bells If you think that it is acceptable to run a business without a view to the future, then you must not invest in anything. Think of three potential outcomes:
1 - Things get better 2 - Things get worse 3 - Things stay the same
You should have a view to which of these is most likely AND react to it. If you don't have a view (right or wrong), then you should be fired OR at least tune your business to "stay the same". If that means profits are down, then you have to lay off/attrit people out of the business.
re: Cisco Sounds Warning BellsIn a CC long on "balance across products and theaters" and "competition from a product and business architecture prospective", little was said about actual product performance.
The weakest sector was US enterprise switching. Is this because US enterprise cap-ex is off, or because CSCO is off? Is IOS just too slow and complex to handle tomorrow's problems? In the RVBD call for instance, management crowed about "boomerang sales" of CSCO replacements. They saw no slowdown.
It seems to me that IOS is indeed too old, monolithic and modded to support tomorrow's "intelligent network" workloads. If not, why introduce yet another new OS in their most recent switch?
Indeed, investors think "as CSCO goes, so goes the economy", but it might be CSCO's sun that is setting. Once service providers cut back on cap-ex, watch out below!
Having seen a couple of your comments in the last few days, you seem to have a great deal to say about the opinions and motivations of others and very little to say on the topic. You seem to be taking a very moralistic stance without actually contributing. Psycologically you seem to want to draw our attention to your high moral values rather than your knowledge of the topic.
Perhaps you could enlighten us with your opinion, pure and unsullied as you would have us believe it is. Then we can bask in your glorious light.
Or
You don't actually have an opinion and you just like criticising other people for what you percieve their motivations are and you have little substance other than that.
You prove it to us one way or another with your next post .... i double dare you!
1. The long term 12-17% story is intact
2. Cisco intends to use the slowdown as an opportunity to gain market share, "as we have done in the past."
He might be right, but it won't make the next quarter any more fun.