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JDSU Spooks Investors

Light Reading
News Analysis
Light Reading
4/29/2004

JDS Uniphase Corp. (Nasdaq: JDSU; Toronto: JDU) beat analysts' expectations by announcing breakeven earnings yesterday, but the company's cloudy outlook sent the stock south.

JDSU beat analysts' expectations of a 1 cent per share loss, according to Reuters Research. Still, its shares closed down 60 cents, roughly 15 percent, at $3.26 today, as JDSU disappointed on multiple fronts.

For the quarter ending March 31, JDSU reported revenues of $161 million -- higher than the previous quarter's $155 million, but less than the $166 million reported a year ago. The company's pro forma net loss was $6.7 million, which rounds off to zero cents per share, compared with a loss of $44.8 million, or 3 cents per share, for the same quarter a year ago. (See JDSU Reports Revenue Increase.)

JDSU's net loss, according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), was $7.3 million, or 1 cent per share.

The numbers weren't any big surprise, but investors were dismayed at JDSU's weak forecast, as executives said revenues would climb 5 percent at best in the June quarter.

There's also the fact that the communications business was tepid. Optics grew just 2 percent in last quarter, while thin-film products -- JDSU's non-communications business -- grew 10 percent. Each side represents roughly half of JDSU's revenues.

JDSU has had this happen before, where half the company does well, only to be held back by a disappointment from the other half (see JDSU Revenues Still Declining). It's as if the numbers are conspiring to make JDSU the Sisyphus of profitability:

Table 1: JDSU Financials

Quarter Dec'02 Mar. '03 Jun. '03 Sept. '03 Dec. '03 Mar. '04 Jun.'04
Revenues ($M) 156.6 165.7 160.6 147.4 152.6 161.4 168.2*
Net Income ($) -0.07 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01*
* Estimated
Source: Reuters Research




In a research note today, analyst Stephen Koffler of Wachovia Securities Inc. says it appears JDSU's optical business is slowing, something he'd like to see the company try harder to change.

"It doesn't appear that JDSU's acquisition strategy includes any moves to greatly expand the addressable market," Koffler writes. Koffler had upgraded JDSU in September, expecting a "more aggressive acquisition strategy" to emerge by now. He took it back today, downgrading JDSU to Market Perform from Outperform.

Most analysts gave JDSU good marks for the quarter but still cautioned that the stock's valuation is high, "nearly three times as large as the optical component market," writes analyst John Harmon of Needham & Co. in a research note today (see Is JDSU's Cap Set Too High?).

In part, that's because of JDSU's prominence. The stock tends to get bumped higher whenever the networking industry reports happy news, Harmon writes.

— Craig Matsumoto, Senior Editor, Light Reading
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lastmile
lastmile
12/5/2012 | 1:53:51 AM
re: JDSU Spooks Investors
Is there any other name in this industry that is doing better than JDSU?
The answer is NO!
fcoloccia
fcoloccia
12/5/2012 | 1:53:37 AM
re: JDSU Spooks Investors
Alcatel isn't doing too bad.
truelight
truelight
12/5/2012 | 1:53:29 AM
re: JDSU Spooks Investors
THIS IS WHAT YOU GET FOR HIRING A GUY THAT DOES NOT KNOW THE COMPONENTS-OPTICAL INDUSTRY.
fcoloccia
fcoloccia
12/5/2012 | 1:52:55 AM
re: JDSU Spooks Investors
Does anyone make anything about the rumours of Alcatel buying JDSU?
whyiswhy
whyiswhy
12/5/2012 | 1:52:32 AM
re: JDSU Spooks Investors
All potential deals are being looked at. Even ones as crazy as that.

The cash JDSU has is just too juicy.

Or should I say, "the market potential of optical components is disappointing, and it is clear the company needs to go in other directions".

Simple-talk or execu-speak...same thing.

-Why
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