& cplSiteName &

Ericsson Looks to Future as Q1 Sales Slump

Ray Le Maistre
4/23/2014
50%
50%

Ericsson suffered a 9% slump in revenues during the first quarter of 2014 as major 4G network rollout projects in the US and Japan tailed off, but the vendor's management highlighted improving margins, and said sales will pick up later this year. (See Ericsson Reports Q1.)

CEO Hans Vestberg and CFO Jan Frykhammar also stuck to their oft-repeated analysis of business trends -- major network rollouts deliver higher revenues and lower margins, which are then followed by lower revenues and higher margins as operators add capacity -- and stressed that Ericsson AB (Nasdaq: ERIC)'s portfolio of mobile broadband infrastructure, video-related systems, OSS/BSS assets, and large services division is well suited to the long-term needs of communications service providers.

But it's the numbers that investors react to, and the 9% year-on-year dip in revenues to 47.5 billion Swedish kronor (US$7.24 billion) sent Ericsson's share price down by 4.5% to SEK82.35 in morning trading on the Stockholm exchange.

The numbers, though disappointing, do conform to the trends highlighted at the end of 2013 and are in line with the consistent story told by management, as gross and operating margins improved during the first quarter. (See Ericsson Flatlines in 2013, Trails Huawei.)

Table 1: Ericsson Q1 2014 Key Financials

In SEK billions Q1 2014 Q1 2013 Change Q4 2013 Change
Revenues 47.5 52.0 -9% 67.0 -29%
- Of which Networks 24.4 28.1 -13% 34.8 -30%
- Of which Global Services 20.4 21.5 -5% 27.2 -25%
- Of which Support Solutions 2.8 2.4 13% 5.1 -46%
Gross margin 36.5% 32.0% Increase of 4.5 percentage points 37.1% Decrease of 0.6 percentage points
Operating margin 5.5% 4.0% Increase of 1.5 percentage points 13.5% Decrease of 8.0 percentage points
Net income 1.7 1.2 42% 6.4 -73%
Source: Ericsson

CEO Vestberg also noted that, as a result of new network rollout contracts won by Ericsson (some announced, some not), revenues would improve during the second half of 2014, but this would probably result in lower margins.

Some of that growth is likely to be coming from Europe, where Ericsson has been awarded a significant deal as part of Vodafone's Project Spring program. (See Euronews: Ericsson Lands 'Project Spring' Deal.)

China is also a very active market currently, as the country's three main operators continue to build out their 3G and 4G networks. Ericsson noted that its revenues from China rose by 46% year-on-year during the first quarter, but that was from a very low base last year.

The company's main message to the market is that it believes it is well placed to be "very relevant" to the market for the long term, given its focus on mobile broadband, video systems, OSS/BSS, routers, and smartphone modems. (See Ericsson Bags Azuki Systems.)

That portfolio, along with the company's R&D work in SDN and NFV, is in line with what network operators are looking for, said Vestberg. The CEO said that in his conversations with customers, the main topics they talk about are: network performance, and the need to optimize for data traffic, which plays to Ericsson's Service Provider Information Technology (SPIT) assets; the potential of SDN and NFV to improve service creation and delivery and reduce operating costs; and the need to manage and deliver video traffic efficiently across multiple platforms to multiple devices. (See Ericsson Broadcasts its TV Anywhere Message, Ericsson Commits to OpenStack With Mirantis , and Ericsson CTO Bangs SDN Drum.)

He pointed to Ericsson's inclusion in AT&T's Domain 2.0 project, boasting of the company's presence as the only major equipment vendor involved in the carrier's plan to revamp its network around SDN and NFV. (See AT&T's Cloud Future Takes Shape.)

Vestberg also said that Ericsson is now involved in "all major OSS/BSS transformations," a major step forward from a year ago. The business impact of such engagements, though, is slower and less dramatic than the radio access network (RAN) deals that drive the majority of Ericsson's sales. The OSS and BSS projects "take a long time… these are major IT projects," noted Vestberg. "These will be big in the industry," he added, and have a positive impact on the professional services part of the vendor's business. (See CenturyLink, Ericsson Leverage Legacy for Agile IT.)

By "big," though, Vestberg does not mean such deals will generate RAN-type revenue streams: The greater value for Ericsson, beyond services and software sales, is the deeper relationship with carriers that such engagements deliver. That's hard to show on a spreadsheet, though, so Vestberg and Frykhammar will need to press home the overall value story of Ericsson's broad portfolio play at every opportunity to win the confidence of investors who feel more comfortable with numbers and statistics.

— Ray Le Maistre, Circle me on Google+ Follow me on TwitterVisit my LinkedIn profile, Editor-in-Chief, Light Reading

(2)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
Gabriel Brown
50%
50%
Gabriel Brown,
User Rank: Light Sabre
4/23/2014 | 7:59:29 AM
Re: Mobile broadband still good for a while yet
It's going to be interesting to see how much carriers actually spend on SDN and NFV over the next few years, and how much of that goes to telecom vendors.

I'd argue that the big LTE deployments in China and Europe (well, biggish) will be much more meaningful for Ericsson this year.
Ray@LR
50%
50%
Ray@LR,
User Rank: Blogger
4/23/2014 | 7:49:15 AM
Mobile broadband still good for a while yet
As the mobile broadband infrastructure market leader, and unlikely to be far from the top of the RAN tree any time soon, Ericsson has time to make its multiple (and significant) acquisitions in video, OSS/BSS and IP work. And so far, that mobile networks position has enabled Ericsson to get by, retaining scale and making money.

But as we have seen with Nokia and Blackberry, market leaders are never safe and not guaranteed future success, which is why Ericsosn has diversified and is scrambling to ensure it has at least the perception of being at the vanguard of carrier SDN and NFV developments.

It's going to be very interesting to see if Ericsson has its business mix right. The large vendors need to be able to rely on the majority of its operations performing well if parts are strugling, and so far Ericsson has achieved that balancing act. But it's a tightrope, and one that Nortel has already fallen from.

IN the same that it's interesting now to look back and see which companies have made the cut from 2004 to 2014, it'll be even more interesting to see which names are leading the pack (or have even survived) as comms networking systems vendors in 2024. 
Educational Resources
sponsor supplied content
Educational Resources Archive
From The Founder
Cisco's Conrad Clemson, recently promoted to head up the company's Service Provider Apps & Platforms developments, talks to Light Reading's Founder and CEO Steve Saunders about how he's bringing cloud video, mobile and virtualization together to empower network operators.
Flash Poll
Live Streaming Video
Charting the CSP's Future
Six different communications service providers join to debate their visions of the future CSP, following a landmark presentation from AT&T on its massive virtualization efforts and a look back on where the telecom industry has been and where it's going from two industry veterans.
LRTV Interviews
Heavy Reading: The Web-Scale View

1|18|17   |     |   (0) comments


At Light Reading's 2020 Vision Executive Summit in Rome, Heavy Reading's former chief analyst Patrick Donegan shared insight from the recent web-scale operators report, which featured research on how web-scale operators view the market, the best web-scale companies to ...
LRTV Custom TV
Cisco's Cloud Scale Networking: Automation, Virtualization & Simplification

1|18|17   |     |   (0) comments


Cisco's Sanjeev Mervana outlines the latest innovations in networking technology at CES 2017 in Las Vegas.
LRTV Custom TV
ADVA Talks Innovation & the Future of Networking

1|17|17   |     |   (0) comments


Ray Le Maistre and Christoph Glingener, CTO of ADVA Optical Networking, discuss the current state of the industry, cooperation and collaboration, open innovation and the future of networking.
LRTV Custom TV
Cisco's Infinite Video Platform

1|17|17   |     |   (0) comments


Cisco's Infinite Video Platform allows service providers to deliver broadcast-quality video over IP networks. Infinite video supports many devices, from 4K TVs to tablets to game consoles. Join Cisco's Rajeev Raman for a brief tour and live demo.
LRTV Interviews
Masergy: Ability to Adapt Key for NFV

1|16|17   |   6:40   |   (0) comments


Speaking at Light Reading's 2020 Vision in Rome, Masergy's VP, Global Technology, Ray Watson, said agility is key to providing the mix and match NFV-based services that are driving business for the managed service provider today.
LRTV Interviews
Equinix: The Data Explosion

1|13|17   |   4:16   |   (0) comments


At Light Reading's 2020 Vision in Rome, Eric Schwartz, president of EMEA, Equinix, talked about how Equinix is helping its customers manage the influx of data today, and how it's preparing for a future filled with millions of connected IoT devices.
LRTV Interviews
Heavy Reading: The Changing Data Center Landscape

1|12|17   |   6:05   |   (1) comment


At Light Reading's 2020 Vision event in Rome, Heavy Reading's Senior Analyst Roz Roseboro talks about how virtualization is impacting data center evolution and how that evolution is affecting the relationship between service providers, data center operators and public cloud providers.
LRTV Interviews
Boingo: Prepping for Millions of Devices

1|12|17   |   5:07   |   (1) comment


At Light Reading's 2020 Vision in Rome, Boingo's CTO Derek Peterson discusses how wireless operators will address the needs of low-bandwidth and high-bandwidth apps at the same time, the need for more MHz, the impact of IoT and more.
LRTV Interviews
Comcast Shows Off Gig Gateway at CES

1|11|17   |     |   (1) comment


With its largest presence at CES in years, Comcast took the wraps off its long-awaited gigabit gateway and a new platform for managing the home WiFi network. Light Reading Senior Editor Mari Silbey sat down with EVP Chris Satchell to discuss the latest Comcast advance, and met with VP of Product Strategy and Development Andrea Peiro to walk through a demo of the ...
LRTV Interviews
Colt: End-to-End Key for 2017

1|10|17   |   6:21   |   (0) comments


At Light Reading's 2020 Vision Executive Summit in Rome, Nico Fischbach of Colt said having a multi-carrier, end-to-end service proposition is going to be key for 2017 -- and SD-WAN is instrumental in making it happen.
From the Founder
Cisco's Clemson on Mobile Cloud Video

1|9|17   |     |   (1) comment


Cisco's Conrad Clemson, recently promoted to head up the company's Service Provider Apps & Platforms developments, talks to Light Reading's Founder and CEO Steve Saunders about how he's bringing cloud video, mobile and virtualization together to empower network operators. "If you think about where we're going… whether it's a mobile application, or a video ...
LRTV Custom TV
VMware Telco NFV Solutions – Preparing for 5G & IOT

1|9|17   |     |   (0) comments


Shekar Ayyar, EVP & Corporate Strategy/General Manager of Telco for VMware, discusses VMware's Telco NFV solutions role and foundation for the Imminent Arrival of 5G & IOT.
Upcoming Live Events
March 21-22, 2017, The Curtis Hotel, Denver, CO
May 15-17, 2017, Austin Convention Center, Austin, TX
All Upcoming Live Events
Infographics
Hot Topics
A Women in Comms Glossary
Sarah Thomas, Director, Women in Comms, 1/18/2017
Is Cable One Beefing Up for Slaughter?
Alan Breznick, Cable/Video Practice Leader, Light Reading, 1/20/2017
Nokia CTO: 2017 Is the Year 5G Gets in the Field
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 1/19/2017
TV's Paradox: No HDR Without 4K
Mari Silbey, Senior Editor, Cable/Video, 1/17/2017
Qualcomm Study Predicts 5G Will Create 22M Jobs by 2035
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 1/17/2017
Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed
BETWEEN THE CEOs - Executive Interviews
Light Reading founder and CEO Steve Saunders chats with Sportlogiq CEO Craig Buntin about sports data analysis.
Eyal Waldman, CEO of Mellanox Technologies, speaks to Steve Saunders, CEO of Light Reading, for an exclusive interview about the 100 GB cable challenge, cybersecurity and much more.
Animals with Phones
Live Digital Audio

Playing it safe can only get you so far. Sometimes the biggest bets have the biggest payouts, and that is true in your career as well. For this radio show, Caroline Chan, general manager of the 5G Infrastructure Division of the Network Platform Group at Intel, will share her own personal story of how she successfully took big bets to build a successful career, as well as offer advice on how you can do the same. We’ll cover everything from how to overcome fear and manage risk, how to be prepared for where technology is going in the future and how to structure your career in a way to ensure you keep progressing. Chan, a seasoned telecom veteran and effective risk taker herself, will also leave plenty of time to answer all your questions live on the air.