The French telecom incumbent sees revenues fall at home for the first time in two years but still manages to grow earnings.

Iain Morris, International Editor

April 30, 2019

3 Min Read
Orange Q1 Sales Dip in France Amid Tough Competition

Orange saw revenues in its main French market dip for the first time in about two years during the first three months of the year amid fierce competition between the country's network operators.

The former state-owned telco reported a sales decline of 1.8% in its domestic market, to around €4.4 billion (US$4.9 billion), compared with the year-earlier period, citing a "challenging competitive context" in its domestic market.

Overall revenues were unchanged compared with the year-earlier period, at about €10.2 billion ($11.4 billion), thanks to marginal growth in other European markets and a strong performance in Africa and the Middle East.

Orange also managed a 0.7% improvement in EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) after leases, to nearly €2.6 billion ($2.9 billion), but warned that earnings growth would be slightly lower this year than in 2018.

That forecast ignores the impact of a recently announced network-sharing deal with Vodafone in Spain, as the two operators prepare for the rollout of next-generation 5G services.

The deal is expected to generate gross savings of €800 million ($895 million) over the next ten years but will require an initial investment of €300 million ($336 million) over the next four, including €100 million ($112 million) this year alone.

Such arrangements are becoming a common feature of the European telecom landscape as operators try to minimize the costs of building 5G infrastructure while sales growth remains elusive.

Despite the excitement that surrounds 5G, Orange said its capital expenditure would be slightly lower this year than in 2018, when it spent around €7.4 billion ($8.3 billion) in total.

France has yet to hold a 5G spectrum auction, although Orange has already made substantial investments in recent years in the high-speed fiber networks needed to support much higher-speed mobile connections.

The capex guidance is not new -- Orange had indicated back in late 2017 that investments would probably peak in 2018 before declining in subsequent years -- but it may disappoint equipment vendors hoping the rollout of 5G networks will fuel spending on network gear.

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For investors, the main concern will be the performance in France, where revenues fell despite growth in the customer base (see chart below). Indeed, Orange's share price dipped by almost 3.5% on the Paris exchange in early trading Tuesday to €13.89.

Figure 1: Source: Orange Source: Orange

Orange blamed the setback on the end of some promotional activities and a slowdown in equipment sales, with CEO Stephane Richard noting the tough conditions in his published comments about the quarterly update.

"During the quarter, the group succeeded in maintaining its high quality commercial performance in spite of a particularly challenging competitive context notably in our two principal countries of France and Spain," he said. "Our strategy is paying off since EBITDAal [EBITDA after leases] is continuing to grow while revenues remain stable, allowing us to reaffirm our 2019 objectives."

Unlike Vodafone, which is slashing headcount in Spain after sharp declines in sales and profits, Orange managed slight revenue growth of 0.4% at its Spanish operation, to around €1.3 billion ($1.5 billion), thanks largely to its fixed and wholesale divisions.

The standout unit was Africa and the Middle East, which registered an 8.3% increase in revenues, to more than €1.3 billion ($1.5 billion), due mainly to customer interest in mobile money and data services.

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— Iain Morris, International Editor, Light Reading

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About the Author(s)

Iain Morris

International Editor, Light Reading

Iain Morris joined Light Reading as News Editor at the start of 2015 -- and we mean, right at the start. His friends and family were still singing Auld Lang Syne as Iain started sourcing New Year's Eve UK mobile network congestion statistics. Prior to boosting Light Reading's UK-based editorial team numbers (he is based in London, south of the river), Iain was a successful freelance writer and editor who had been covering the telecoms sector for the past 15 years. His work has appeared in publications including The Economist (classy!) and The Observer, besides a variety of trade and business journals. He was previously the lead telecoms analyst for the Economist Intelligence Unit, and before that worked as a features editor at Telecommunications magazine. Iain started out in telecoms as an editor at consulting and market-research company Analysys (now Analysys Mason).

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