& cplSiteName &

Metro P-OTS 2.0 Has Arrived

Sterling Perrin
1/21/2014
50%
50%

Metro transport networking will never be the same again. That's the main conclusion to be drawn from the latest edition of Heavy Reading 's metro packet-optical tracker, the findings of which highlight a trend we identified a year ago -- the arrival of the P-OTS 2.0 era.

Packet-optical transport (P-OTS) has always been a nebulous term in the industry, but we've defined P-OTS products as those that combine native packet switching/transport and native TDM switching/transport, with or without DWDM optics, within a single network element.

In early 2013, data from a Heavy Reading survey of network operators pointed to a coming shift in their metro transport requirements, away from the historic emphasis on TDM features and functions and firmly toward packet features and functions, and, where capacity demands warranted it, integrated DWDM optics. We've labeled this shift as "P-OTS 2.0," and it provided a strong catalyst for P-OTS suppliers in 2013. With three quarters of market data gathered, we estimate that global P-OTS system revenue increased 40% in 2013 to reach $1.8 billion. In 2012, P-OTS had a relatively lackluster year of just 21% growth, so the market resurgence has been a welcome trend for suppliers.

Our current thinking is that P-OTS 2.0 has enough momentum to carry the market through 2015, as operators continue to drop legacy Sonet/SDH equipment in favor of packet- and optics-heavy P-OTS gear. We believe that 2014 will the critical cross-over year in which annual P-OTS spend exceeds legacy Sonet/SDH spend for the first time.

However, there is a cautionary tale here for P-OTS suppliers as well. The declining relevance of native TDM that is helping P-OTS today will ultimately prove problematic as traditional Layer 2/3 switch suppliers, some of which may integrate DWDM optics to their products, increasingly compete for transport applications. In a world where all TDM is emulated, what will be the advantage of P-OTS over transport class Layer 2/3 switches?

A battle looms, and we think it's one that heats up from 2016 onward. At that point, P-OTS suppliers will need to have (and articulate) a clear advantage that does not rest on native TDM.

— Sterling Perrin, Senior Analyst, Heavy Reading

(0)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
More Blogs from Heavy Lifting Analyst Notes
The shift to application and network virtualization by operators and CSPs requires a new generation of multicore processors that are being introduced by many vendors.
In the wake of a damaging cyber attack in 2015, Philip Clayson was tasked with creating a cyber breach remediation plan for over 600 applications across TalkTalk's consumer and enterprise divisions and to deal with the operator's 'tech debt.'
It's still hard to say whether carrier SDN is really a success or a failure, but the needle is moving on SDN commercialization – albeit not as quickly as some might hope.
The most recent Thought Leadership Council (TLC) survey finds that although most communications service providers (CSPs) prefer to have a solid plan in place before moving on a new market trend, it's not looking to be the same for automation, as most CSPs surveyed say they are moving forward without solid plans.
Software-defined wide area network (SD-WAN) is the primary focus for cable in 2018, with fierce competition across the market.
Featured Video
From The Founder
The world of virtualization is struggling to wrench itself away from the claws of vendor lock-in, which runs counter to everything that NFV stands for.
Flash Poll
Upcoming Live Events
March 20-22, 2018, Denver Marriott Tech Center
March 22, 2018, Denver, Colorado | Denver Marriott Tech Center
March 28, 2018, Kansas City Convention Center
April 4, 2018, The Westin Dallas Downtown, Dallas
April 9, 2018, Las Vegas Convention Center
May 14-16, 2018, Austin Convention Center
May 14, 2018, Brazos Hall, Austin, Texas
September 24-26, 2018, Westin Westminster, Denver
October 9, 2018, The Westin Times Square, New York
October 23, 2018, Georgia World Congress Centre, Atlanta, GA
November 8, 2018, The Montcalm by Marble Arch, London
November 15, 2018, The Westin Times Square, New York
December 4-6, 2018, Lisbon, Portugal
All Upcoming Live Events
Hot Topics
Has Europe Switched to a Fiber Diet? Not Yet...
Ray Le Maistre, Editor-in-Chief, 2/15/2018
Will China React to Latest US Huawei, ZTE Slapdown?
Ray Le Maistre, Editor-in-Chief, 2/16/2018
IBM, Microsoft Duke It Out Over Chief Diversity Hire
Sarah Thomas, Director, Women in Comms, 2/15/2018
5G: The Density Question
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 2/15/2018
T-Mobile Injects AI Into Customer Service
Kelsey Kusterer Ziser, Editor, 2/16/2018
Animals with Phones
Live Digital Audio

A CSP's digital transformation involves so much more than technology. Crucial – and often most challenging – is the cultural transformation that goes along with it. As Sigma's Chief Technology Officer, Catherine Michel has extensive experience with technology as she leads the company's entire product portfolio and strategy. But she's also no stranger to merging technology and culture, having taken a company — Tribold — from inception to acquisition (by Sigma in 2013), and she continues to advise service providers on how to drive their own transformations. This impressive female leader and vocal advocate for other women in the industry will join Women in Comms for a live radio show to discuss all things digital transformation, including the cultural transformation that goes along with it.

Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed