& cplSiteName &

Infinera Earnings & Metro Expectations on Tap

Dan O'Shea
4/22/2014
50%
50%

Is Infinera ready to tackle a 100G metro market that at least one other vendor says is already ramping up? That is likely to be one of the questions that comes up as the optical vendor conducts its first-quarter earnings call Wednesday afternoon.

Infinera Corp. (Nasdaq: INFN) has been at work on a version of its PIC for the metro market. Although it has been vague about where a metro product may stand, Infinera CEO Tom Fallon likely will be pressed on Wednesday's call for details about the company's plans for a metro version of its DTN platform.

Infinera has taken a decidedly glass-half-full view of the 100G market, saying that, despite much contract activity in the last year, it is not expected to peak for another few years. That suggests the metro 100G market remains in an even more nascent state. However, Ciena Corp. (NYSE: CIEN) has said that the metro market for 100G already is ramping up this year (See Infinera: We're Fine, Thanks…, Infinera Shifts Up a Gear, and Ciena Fans 100G Metro Flames.)

Infinera is coming off a fourth quarter in which it reported decent earnings, but during which it became apparent that it had missed out on a major 100G contract from Verizon Communications, which went with Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) instead. Earlier in the first quarter, Infinera was able to report some better contract news with a win at Windstream Communications. (See Analyst: Infinera Loses VZ Deal to AlcaLu and Windstream Taps Infinera for National Buildout.)

Wednesday's call also will mark the quarterly earnings call debut of Infinera CFO Brad Feller, who slid into that job March 1 after former CFO Ita Brennan left the company. Analyst consensus seems to be that Infinera will be upbeat about the first quarter, even though it is typically the slowest quarter. Some analyst estimates for quarterly revenue are around $140 million, which would represent a 12% increase of the first quarter of 2013.

— Dan O'Shea, Managing Editor, Light Reading

(3)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
MarkC73
50%
50%
MarkC73,
User Rank: Light Sabre
4/23/2014 | 11:41:52 PM
Re: Ciena Very Optimistic
I didn't see the graph, but I think it all depends on those price points, clearly Tier 1 and larger Tier 2 customers already have 100G needs in their core, but as access speeds and gear increase so will the metro.  How quickly will depend on the cost efficacy for the customers which will partially depends on economies of scale, the more you make the cheaper you tend to be able to make them.  Which means you'll have both low margin big customers and larger margin smaller customers, the more the merrier.  Personally, I see it happening sooner than later.

 
smkinoshita
50%
50%
smkinoshita,
User Rank: Light Sabre
4/22/2014 | 6:08:47 PM
Ciena Very Optimistic
I took a look at Ciena'a post about 100G, which showcased a graph by Infonetics Research that paints an extremly optimistic picture of 100G.  I'm not quite sure what to believe though; on one hand it seems a bit skewed, and on the other we all know how fast tech moves.  I can't find fault in Infinera's stand on the situation.
rgrutza600
50%
50%
rgrutza600,
User Rank: Light Sabre
4/22/2014 | 4:12:17 PM
premature speculation
The company just produced a PIC for metro in the fourth quarter of 2013.  It would be impossible for them to announce anything new in system development just three months later.  Maybe Q4 of 2014 would bet the next major point at which you would expect to hear about a system at best.  Here is what David Welch said in January:

Quote:

The volume on the long-haul market from all of our customers continues to grow consistent with what they have told us in the years past. And we have seen a slowdown in the volume of data in the long-haul. For Infinera's play in the metro, we do supply our current product for high capacity metros and we are deployed in high capacity metros today. What we will continue to do is build out our capabilities in our feature set in order to impact that, and we should be in a good position to impact that as 100-gig becomes a strong player within the metro space. 100-gig will be a significant player in themetro space in the late '15 beginning '16 type of timeframe.
From The Founder
Cisco's Conrad Clemson, recently promoted to head up the company's Service Provider Apps & Platforms developments, talks to Light Reading's Founder and CEO Steve Saunders about how he's bringing cloud video, mobile and virtualization together to empower network operators.
Flash Poll
Live Streaming Video
Charting the CSP's Future
Six different communications service providers join to debate their visions of the future CSP, following a landmark presentation from AT&T on its massive virtualization efforts and a look back on where the telecom industry has been and where it's going from two industry veterans.
LRTV Custom TV
Innovation at MWC: Low-Power IoT for Scottish Seal Lions

2|27|17   |   6:32   |   (0) comments


Light Reading's Liz Coyne tours the GSMA's Innovation City at Mobile World Congress 2017. A key theme of this year's event is how low-power or no-power IoT devices could become a part of our everyday lives. Imagine a world in which over 15 billion shipping pallets communicate with cellular networks down the entire supply chain. Or a parka that reveals your ...
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Huawei Will Accelerate the Spread of the Video Business

2|27|17   |     |   (0) comments


What is the future of the booming video business? What changes will happen to the video industry chain in the future? Hunter Hu, VP of Huawei Video Product Line, shares his viewpoints and explains how Huawei can be an enabler and accelerate the spread of the video business.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Frost & Sullivan's Jonas Zelba on Going Beyond Connectivity

2|27|17   |     |   (0) comments


Telecom operators across the globe are trying to understand what can they offer beyond connectivity. Operators are already introducing new and innovative services but they are faced with challenges due to unclear business models. Jonas highlights that no one operator can offer all the services itself. Operators in the Middle East should look within their ecosystem ...
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
IDC's Paul Black on Cloudification

2|27|17   |     |   (0) comments


Paul Black from IDC shares his insights on how cloudification is expected to combile all aspects of digital transformation.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Industry Expert Michael Howard Talks About Cloud Native

2|27|17   |     |   (0) comments


Cloud Native is a really nice term and a lot of people are using it. But most of them have their own definition of what Cloud Native means. Michael Howard offers his take on the terminology.
LRTV Custom TV
4.5G Evolution: Peter Zhou on Advanced MIMO Technologies & 5G Business Prep

2|25|17   |     |   (0) comments


In the process of service transformation, operators need to catch three major opportunities and start deploying in 4.5G networks, such as video, household broadband access and digital transformation of vertical industries. 5G is coming. Operators don't need to wait for it to happen but should progressively deploy 4.5G networks by introducing 5G-oriented ...
LRTV Custom TV
What WTTX Can Deliver

2|23|17   |     |   (0) comments


Mohamed Madkour explains the benefits of WTTX while Dimitris Mavrakis discusses the challenges of delivering home broadband access.
LRTV Custom TV
Huawei on Mobile Broadband

2|23|17   |     |   (0) comments


Mohamed Madkour shares his vision on MBB for the next three years.
LRTV Custom TV
Analysys Mason Talks About the Future of Digital Operations

2|23|17   |     |   (0) comments


The future of digital operations has three key aspects: 1. Highly automated operations for both service and network; 2. Highly converged BSS/OSS for business and resources; 3. Highly merged management and control for real-time cloud native operations.
LRTV Interviews
Software Trends in the Telecom Sector

2|23|17   |   03:40   |   (0) comments


Heavy Reading senior analyst James Crawshaw talks with Telecoms.com Editorial Director Scott Bicheno about trends and developments in the telecoms software sector and what to expect at MWC 2017.
LRTV Custom TV
Huawei's Pre-MWC Analyst Briefing 2017 Highlights

2|22|17   |     |   (0) comments


Huawei shares its vision for this year's MWC.
LRTV Interviews
MWC17: 5G, Cloud RAN & More

2|21|17   |   04:35   |   (0) comments


Ovum Senior Analyst Julian Bright talks to Scott Bicheno from Telecoms.com about all things MWC, including Cloud RAN, Huawei's pitch to the industry and the road to 5G.
Upcoming Live Events
March 21-22, 2017, The Curtis Hotel, Denver, CO
March 22, 2017, The Curtis Hotel, Denver, CO
March 22, 2017, The Curtis Hotel, Denver, CO
May 15-17, 2017, Austin Convention Center, Austin, TX
May 15, 2017, Austin Convention Center - Austin, TX
June 6, 2017, The Joule Hotel, Dallas, TX
All Upcoming Live Events
Infographics
With the mobile ecosystem becoming increasingly vulnerable to security threats, AdaptiveMobile has laid out some of the key considerations for the wireless community.
Hot Topics
Uber's HR Nightmare: Company Investigates Sexual Harassment Claims
Sarah Thomas, Director, Women in Comms, 2/21/2017
Broadband Has a Problem on the Pole
Mari Silbey, Senior Editor, Cable/Video, 2/21/2017
Verizon to Start Fixed 5G Customer Trials in April
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 2/22/2017
Cloud Rains on HPE Earnings
Mitch Wagner, Editor, Enterprise Cloud, 2/24/2017
Verizon Fixed 5G Tests to Top 3Gbit/s?
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 2/23/2017
Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed
BETWEEN THE CEOs - Executive Interviews
Light Reading founder and CEO Steve Saunders chats with Sportlogiq CEO Craig Buntin about sports data analysis.
Eyal Waldman, CEO of Mellanox Technologies, speaks to Steve Saunders, CEO of Light Reading, for an exclusive interview about the 100 GB cable challenge, cybersecurity and much more.
Animals with Phones
No One Likes This Click Here
Take a hint!
Live Digital Audio

Playing it safe can only get you so far. Sometimes the biggest bets have the biggest payouts, and that is true in your career as well. For this radio show, Caroline Chan, general manager of the 5G Infrastructure Division of the Network Platform Group at Intel, will share her own personal story of how she successfully took big bets to build a successful career, as well as offer advice on how you can do the same. We’ll cover everything from how to overcome fear and manage risk, how to be prepared for where technology is going in the future and how to structure your career in a way to ensure you keep progressing. Chan, a seasoned telecom veteran and effective risk taker herself, will also leave plenty of time to answer all your questions live on the air.