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amitawal
User Ranking
Tuesday December 4, 2012 1:51:29 AM
no ratings

Would be good to see someone workout the math, compare Nortel's sell price and guess NSNs !!

macster
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 1:56:22 PM

On a more serious note:

From Tom's blog, operator revenue is not merely 'capped'. I see it decreasing in the coming years. There's only so much you can do to reduce network cost (though other aspects of 'costs' like customer acquisition costs, e.g. subsidies have yet to be really looked at). You need new avenues of top-line growth, as Tom alluded (OTT).

I remain skeptical. In another article, Ray commented and asked if Virgin's WiFi networks would help operators with the mobile data issue. In the UK (and Europe), people tend to be indoors and play with their smartphones, consuming bandwidth indoors (on WiFi). Does this not actually shift revenue away from mobile? I've not heard a compelling plan from any operator, on how they intend to grow revenue.

macster
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 1:37:54 PM
no ratings

I agree with some of Tom's points.

But..... can you really see NSN doing any acquisition? Or is it more likely that they will get acquired?

P.S. Would you like the odds on NSN doing any acquisition in 2013? :)

macster
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 1:32:29 PM
no ratings

Announced. I think people will want waaayyyyyyyy greater odds for 'completed' :)

Craig Matsumoto
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 11:48:06 AM
no ratings

Tom Nolle of CIMI Corp. says NSN now must acquire cloud-services technology. 

The company has forced its own hand, he says: "The question is whether it realizes that once you leave the transport layer you have nowhere to go except the service layer."

http://blog.cimicorp.com/?p=1026

His broader thesis is that equipment vendors are headed into the same space as the likes of Amazon, Apple and Google.

Thoughts?

Craig Matsumoto
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 11:45:49 AM
no ratings

You mean a deal completed in 2013, or a deal simply announced in 2013?  Could be a big difference...

macster
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 11:06:22 AM
no ratings

NSN + E/// = 1 company? In 2013?

Taking bets now..... 3:1 odds.

brookseven
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 9:43:23 AM
no ratings

Bruno,

Left Cisco off that list...

seven

 

Brunonero
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 7:33:03 AM
no ratings

...and NSN's gross margins were already the industry's highest in Q3.  

In order of next best performers in Q3, gross margin and operating margin/profit:

NSN        GM=32.2%  OP=9.2%;

Ericsson  GM=30.4%  OP=6.7%;

Alu         GM=27.9%  OP=-5%  (negative OP);

ZTE        GM=17%     OP=-16% (negative OP).

Ray Le Maistre
User Ranking
Monday December 3, 2012 7:13:14 AM

Marlin Equity must have a cunning plan up its sleeve.... or maybe it doesn't mind the thin margins that optical attracts these days.

Depending on what sort of cash NSN is getting -- remember, it gave Adtran money to take the fixed broadband business off it shands -- this looks like quite a smatr move, allowing it to be even more focused and reducing its opex further.

By the end of 2013 this should be helping NSN's margins.



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