I shall tell you all... but might have to kill you afterwards ;)
It's the future so automatically is hard to predict. But if Neilsen's Law holds and people want their Ultra-Def TV to work (maybe two in the house) then the bandwidth demands are going to get pretty crazy. GFast might do it for a while if you're really close to the cabinet but I think wireless has limits that will be hard to overcome.
The Swedish guys with their rotating system for increasing bandwidth per carrier (don't ask me to explain it - it's complificated), have had scorn poured on their approach and I don't think there's anything out there offering realistic, reliable high bandwidths across an area.
Quantum teleportation will be around in 50 years perhaps so we might get Star Trek technology before we get the network we've paid for from operators. You and I are paying part of our subscription to get our networks renewed..... and.... well there's not a lot of renewal.
PS Well done for reading and digesting the report so quickly. It's almost like you could do this for a living ;)
Richard.... now you are required to tell me EVERYTHING!!! :-)
re LTE - 4G services are never going to be an answer to truly high-speed broadband - I am thinking about the deployment of future generation wireless technologies in mesh network topologies with a microwave or NGPON fiber backhaul, serving multiple dwellings/businesses.
It's an interesting point about wireless. I worry that LTE will be used as a weak answer to the Digital Agenda for Europe. Sadly the laws of physics and shortage of spectrum will cause an issue into the future.
LTE will deliver fast headline speeds but, like 3G early on, can only do so to users who are logged on in the early hours when they are alone on a base station. So governments might claim DAE targets have been achieved with LTE but, whereas FTTH or FTTH might deliver consistent speeds, LTE will only be able to deliver widespread DAE type speeds from time to time.
The mobile business is pretty broken as you know with the huge data increases meeting reducing ARPU's head on. In reality, the more data an operator offers, the worse it gets for them. To do LTE requires a significant investment but if all operators do it, there is no differential advantage to compensate for that investment.
PS By the way, I know of one operator (not in Europe) that has upgraded to 4G for free. They have simply re-labelled their 3G service as 4G - I kid you not.
I do wonder, by the time we reach 2030, for example, what impact that advances in wireless technology will have on FTTH business cases for domestic broadband services.
Multitenant buildings, businesses etc could all do with a few fibers, but I'd say it's possible that there will be no reason ever to take fiber to some users -- and that's not to say they won't have decent broadband - maybe 8G wireless (or whatever G we reach...) will meet plenty of people's needs.
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