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brookseven
User Ranking
Wednesday May 30, 2012 9:14:29 AM
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The purpose of your unbundling is to get invenstment in access correct?  To get more FTTH.

I agree with the government part but the rest of it is rather complete bunk.  There is no reason to believe that more dollars will cause anything more than even greater profits in networks.  It is NOT that there is no business case for FTTH.  It is that there are BETTER business cases in other things.  That is the beauty of the incumbent Service Provider position.  Unless they are completely daft they will make money.  

There have been 2 reasons for FTTH investment:

Competition (NTT and Verizon)

Government Intervention (KT and I guess Malaysia)

No amount of any other source of money will do it.  Netflix works just fine on U-verse.  Heck it works fine on regular DSL.  The issue for Netflix is not a broken access technology.  It is people trying to get money out of their ISP business again (instead of their ASP business).

Look at the US incumbent telcos and with the exception of Fairpoint (which really over reached) they are ALL awash in profits.  Unless you create a Universal Service Obligation AT&T will not go out into its rural areas and deploy U-verse, FTTC (which by the way has the same regulatory relief as FTTH), or FTTH.  They just see better ROI in spending their money on Wireless.  If they lose every subscriber in Laytonville, CA they don't care.  The base problem is nobody wants to spend the money to take those customers away.

All of this leads back to where you have mixed things up.  Giving an incumbent a wad of cash will NOT cause them to invest in their access networks.  If they wanted to they could do it today AND it has a positive ROI (albeit with a break even further out than they would really like).  There are only two ways to get them to invest and those are both forceful means: Competiton and Regulation.

seven

 

cnwedit
User Ranking
Tuesday May 29, 2012 1:53:39 PM
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Actually, I'm not mixing metaphors. Your definition of how the industry breaks down is accurate but dated, in my opinion. I realize that there is a difference between providing the physicl network and providing Internet access but I think the industry is rapidly evolving away from the traditional definitions because of how services and applications are being offered OTT today.

I don't consider Netflix a "content provider" - they are a service provider. They aggregate content created by others and deliver it over a network as a subscription service. They are paying for that content and they want that network to be sevice-neutral, which it isn't today, and that's not just a matter of bandwidth caps, but also quality of service, which includes things such as latency. QoS will become much more important as the network incorporates more wireless endpoints.

Unbundling the network doesn't have to be limited to selling T-1s or wavelengths - there could be a reasonable business model around creating network service packages, if we refuse to be bound by the old ways of looking at things.

Certainly the old way of unbundling the access network was much more limited, and ISPs would be the service providers. But that horse left the barn years ago.

 

 

brookseven
User Ranking
Tuesday May 29, 2012 1:13:09 PM
no ratings

 

Carol,

 

You mixed metaphors quite deftly there and I think that you have many valid points, but you need to clarify this.

 

You go from the commentary about Local Loop Unbundling, where a competitor rented a line that was owned by an Incumbent to complaints about Bandwidth Caps by Netflix.  There is an analog there but they are very different.  Netflix does not want to rent a line and become the customer's ISP.   And I think this is where the problem and confusion around all this starts.

 

There are really 5 entities here:  Content Provider, Internet Core Provider, Internet Service Provider, Access Service Provider and Customer.  In some cases, several of those are within the same company (the large ISPs are generally Tier 1 ISPs and have direct access to "The Internet").

 

Where I see the problem different than most is that in the olden days (90s and early 00s) their was the notion of ASP and ISP truly being two entities.  The telcos and cable cos killed this in general or have worked very hard for this to be dead.  Why the cable cos can get away with it 100% and the telcos can not is beyond me.  To do this, they made the ISP portion of the business "free" and put all the cost to the customer in the ASP portion of the business.

 

It turns out that being an ISP does not cost 0 and I do not think the problem is with the ASPs but with the ISPs.  An ASP does not care about bandwidth caps because to him or her each endpoint has bandwidth that is unique.  The problem comes in where they are heavily aggregated - at the ISP.  The ASP has to build networks to sustain large bursts of traffic at maximum rate (hey I want to stream an HD movie).  It is the ISP that doesn't want 10K HD movies being streamed.

 

Now I use this as an example to try to illustrate a point.  These caps are applied by the ISP business - which nowadays is not a great business to be in.  Imagine if you did structural separation FOR ALL NETWORKS and all ISPs with their 0 revenue poof went out of the residential ISP business.

 

So, first I think it is a bit more complicated and second I think we need to be clear about the issues.

 

seven



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