Cisco's move complements its existing IP router business. Tellabs' move complements the position it has built in mobile backhaul.
And that makes sense, according to Heavy Reading senior analyst Patrick Donegan, a leading authority on the mobile backhaul market. "In the transition to all-IP-oriented 4G wireless architectures, there is a collapsing of the transport and core network domains," he says. "Tellabs is looking to leverage its large installed base in the backhaul network to be a leader as and when these two come together."
The deal will cost Tellabs $165 million net, as WiChorus, which came to many people's attention when it landed the packet core equipment deal at WiMax service provider Clearwire LLC (Nasdaq: CLWR), has about $15 million cash in the bank.
The move, which is agreed and signed, and now just requires clearance by various authorities, pitches Tellabs against the biggest names in the telecom infrastructure business.
Tellabs CEO Rob Pullen is, at least, putting on a brave face about those competitive prospects. On a conference call today he basically said the WiChorus platform is far superior, and that Tellabs will hold a 12- to 18-month advantage over the other players while they try to develop technology that can match WiChorus in terms of data throughput, simultaneous customer connections, and deep packet inspection (DPI) capabilities. "We have a next-generation platform today," he boasted.
Tellabs says WiChorus is on track to ship equipment valued at between $6 million and $8 million this year, and that the net price it's paying is equivalent to about 6.5 times the value of shipments WiChorus has predicted for 2010. That puts the value of next year's projected shipments (not necessarily equivalent to top-line sales, due to revenue recognition rules) at about $25 million.
Pullen, though, says Tellabs expects to do better than the WiChorus estimates because it can sell the technology into its installed base of 120 backhaul customers, while at the same time integrating the WiChorus capabilities into its 8600 and 8800 backhaul platforms.
Tellabs is certainly buying into an expanding sector. Heavy Reading's Brown says the mobile packet core is one of the fastest growing parts of the wireless networks market, estimating that it will grow from $1.4 billion in 2008 (2G and 3G systems) to $2.4 billion in 2014, when it will include sales of EPC systems for LTE and WiMax networks.
But Pullen might also find himself with some partner and sales channel issues as a result of the WiChorus acquisition, according to Donegan: "This is a bold new move by Tellabs. It will be interesting to see how the company manages account relationships with some of its partners going forward. Ericsson and NSN, for example, are two major distribution partners for Tellabs' 8600 transport series that is widely deployed in mobile backhaul networks. Going forward, these partners are likely to find Tellabs positioning WiChorus against them in the mobile packet core."
— Ray Le Maistre, International News Editor, Light Reading
Well WiChorus had/has jack-all anyway - so who cares? Well except I guess for the VCs who dumped it. No secret VCs had been trying to market it and get out for a while. There is little there in terms of technology...and not much in sales...despite the claims...
Sure they would have loved to exit for alot more. Look at Cisco buying Navini for $330M...well ok that is Cisco...sense does not matter...mistakes disappear in the belly of an elephant.
1 - Can Tellabs avoid destroying an acquisition the way that it destroyed AFC?
2 - Can Tellabs avoid doing nothing with a small startup like it did with Vivace?
Shareholders should wonder more if the $165M is being flushed. Cisco has taken the lead position in the major US accounts (Verizon already having awarded the business). Have to see how Tellabs will work as an insurgent with a marketing crew of the following quote (from the past on LR): "Technology does not beat incumbency."
It's a surprising acquisition, never had Tellabs down for that kind of ambition. This seems to hint that they will be aiming to take on the big guys rather than getting bought out themselves, at least in some key areas. Clearly EPC is red hot right now...
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