Light Reading

China Primed for Ethernet-Over-Coax Explosion

Jeff Baumgartner
LR Cable News Analysis
Jeff Baumgartner
1/24/2013
50%
50%

A small fraction of China's 200 million TV households get broadband services from cable operators today, but that's expected to change as the nation's multitude of cable operators consolidate and gear up to take on China's much more powerful telcos. Just 3.7 million homes in China currently get broadband services from cable operators via Ethernet-over-coax (EoC) technologies, but that will rise to almost 24 million by 2016, Infonetics Research Inc. predicts in a report issued this week that sizes up this emerging marketplace. The State Administration of Radio, Film and Television (SARFT), China's version of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), has blessed three technical approaches for a next-generation broadband (NGB) project that aims to expand the technical options and help the nation's cable operators put up a better fight against the likes of China Telecom Corp. Ltd. and China Unicom Ltd. Here's a quick rundown of what SARFT has approved so far:

  • C-Docsis: This platform enables any Docsis 2.0- or Docsis 3.0-certified cable modem to interoperate with a stripped down cable modem termination system (CMTS) that's called the Coax Media Converter (CMC). The CMC functions like a CMTS, but, to keep costs down and to fit into China's widespread fiber-to-the-building architectures, it doesn't support the core routing functions that are found in fully-fledged CMTSs.
  • C-HomePlug: A modified version of HomePlug A/V that still uses the lower part of the spectrum range.
  • HiNOC (High Performance Network Over Coax): Rather than occupying the lower bands used by C-HomePlug and the upstream path of C-Docsis, all HiNOC-based services will live in the high portions of the spectrum -- somewhere in the range of 750MHz to 1.6GHz.
This implies some opportunity for chip vendors. Most of China's EoC deployments today rely on HomePlug to pump broadband services to a market that's dominated by multiple dwelling unit (MDU) environments, putting Qualcomm Inc. in the catbird seat, as chips go. But Broadcom Corp. has championed C-Docsis, and Entropic Communications Inc., meanwhile, is expected to adapt its Multimedia over Coax Alliance (MoCA) chips, which already work in the high spectrum range, to the coming 2.0 HiNOC standard. (See Broadcom Joins China's Cable Gold Rush and China Rolls Its Own Ethernet-over-Coax Standard.) There's something at stake for all of them. Infonetics analyst Jeff Heynen predicts that EoC equipment revenue will grow to $804 million in 2016 (modem shipments are expected to make up about 70 percent of those revenues) from $189 million in 2011. He expects the larger market for EoC headends and modems to expand at a 33 percent compound annual growth rate during that same span. C-Docsis to be a 'big player' in China EoC
Although HomePlug has dominated China's EoC market so far, C-Docsis and HiNOC will likely lead the way during the market's coming growth phase, Heynen says, noting HiNOC will likely need a global silicon provider to help legitimize the technology and sustain that part of the industry. "C-Docsis will certainly be a big player," he adds. But there are still some questions as to how fast, or even if, China's EoC market will develop. While it has the potential to become a huge market, the entire process is at the mercy of the Chinese government. It could all be stopped in its tracks, Heynen warns, if the NGB project becomes a casualty of any future government budget cuts. Still, opportunities could extend well beyond China. Other countries and regions that have significant MDU concentrations that could benefit from new EoC technologies include Latin America, Brazil, Russia and parts of Eastern Europe, Heynen says. — Jeff Baumgartner, Site Editor, Light Reading Cable
(0)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
Flash Poll
From The Founder
Then pick up your axe, put on your spandex trousers and get yourself down to Light Reading's Big Telecom Event (BTE). Kerrang!!!
LRTV Custom TV
Next-Generation CCAP: Cisco cBR-8 Evolved CCAP

5|5|15   |   04:49   |   (0) comments


John Chapman, Cisco's CTO of Cable Access Business Unit and Cisco Fellow, explained the innovation design of Cisco's cBR-8, the industry's first Evolved CCAP, including DOCSIS 3.1 design from ground-up, distributed CCAP with Remote PHY and path to virtualization. Cisco's cBR-8 Evolved CCAP is the platform that will last through the transitions.
LRTV Custom TV
Meeting the Demands of Bandwidth & Service Group Growth

5|1|15   |   5:35   |   (0) comments


Jorge Salinger, Comcast's Vice President of Access Architecture, explains how DOCSIS 3.1 and multi-service CCAP can meet the demands of the bandwidth and service group growth.
LRTV Custom TV
DOCSIS 3.1: Transforming Cable From Hardware-Defined Network to Software-Defined Network

4|29|15   |   03:48   |   (0) comments


John Chapman, Cisco's CTO of Cable Access Business Unit and Cisco Fellow, explains how DOCSIS 3.1 can transform cable HFC network to a more agile software-defined network.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Predicting Traffic Patterns for Quality Mobile Broadband

4|29|15   |   6:45   |   (0) comments


Accessing information ubiquitously creates complexity and creates heavy traffic onto the network, especially at large-scale events like sporting events or festivals. In this video, Huawei's Mohammad Hussain speaks to experts about how to predict traffic and improve user experience during periods of heavy traffic.
Between the CEOs
Ciena CEO: The Web-Scale Revolution

4|28|15   |   10:32   |   (3) comments


Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders goes head-to-head with long-time Ciena CEO Gary Smith to discuss the impact of the web-scale players, the New IP and 'white box' networks.
LRTV Documentaries
Cox Eyes Cloud-Based Home Networks

4|27|15   |   05:30   |   (0) comments


Cox's Jeff Finkelstein explains how moving services to the cloud will let cable deliver services faster and eliminate constant hardware replacements.
LRTV Documentaries
CableLabs' Clarke Updates Cable Virtualization

4|23|15   |   05:41   |   (1) comment


Former BT exec now leading CableLabs' NFV and SDN efforts explains key role of open source and updates efforts to virtualize the home network.
LRTV Interviews
Ericsson's CTO Talks Transformation: Pt. II

4|23|15   |   08:19   |   (1) comment


In the second installment of an in-depth two-part interview, Ericsson's CTO Ulf Ewaldsson talks to Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders about cultural change, network slicing and technology advances.
LRTV Interviews
Ericsson's CTO Talks Transformation: Pt. I

4|23|15   |   09:27   |   (3) comments


In the first installment of an in-depth two-part interview, Ericsson's CTO Ulf Ewaldsson talks to Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders about the incredible transformation underway in the communications networking industry.
LRTV Documentaries
LTE Paves the Way for the 5G Revolution

4|20|15   |   4:20   |   (0) comments


Håkan Andersson, head of 5G product strategy of the Radio Business Unit at Ericsson, discusses the role of LTE, the US and other industry verticals in building a true 5G ecosystem.
LRTV Documentaries
The 3GPP's Road to 5G Standardization

4|17|15   |   4:43   |   (0) comments


Satoshi Nagata, chairman of the 3GPP's TSG-RAN group and a manager at NTT Docomo, explains the standardization process for 5G, as well as the biggest challenges and opportunities.
LRTV Documentaries
AlcaLu CTO Makes the Case for a New 5G Air Interface

4|16|15   |   3:54   |   (0) comments


Michael Peeters, CTO of wireless at Alcatel-Lucent, explains why 5G will require a new air interface to meet its diverse performance targets.
Upcoming Live Events
May 12, 2015, Grand Hyatt, Denver, CO
May 13-14, 2015, The Westin Peachtree, Atlanta, GA
June 8, 2015, Chicago, IL
June 9, 2015, Chicago, IL
June 9-10, 2015, Chicago, IL
June 10, 2015, Chicago, IL
September 29-30, 2015, The Westin Grand Müchen, Munich, Germany
October 6, 2015, Westin Peachtree Plaza, Atlanta, GA
November 11-12, 2015, The Westin Peachtree Plaza, Atlanta, GA
All Upcoming Live Events
Infographics
A study run by Insights in Marketing and commissioned by Meredith shows the devices, channels and ways in which women are consuming content.
Hot Topics
No Service, No Problem: 5 Places That Want to Be Unconnected
Eryn Leavens, Copy Desk Editor, 5/1/2015
Cyan Says It Wasn't Starving Before Ciena Bid
Dan O'Shea, Managing Editor, 5/5/2015
Cisco's Robbins to Replace Chambers as CEO
Sarah Thomas, Editorial Operations Director, 5/4/2015
Sprint Maps Out Its Next-Generation Network
Sarah Thomas, Editorial Operations Director, 5/5/2015
Ciena's Cyan Buy: It's All About the Software
Dan O'Shea, Managing Editor, 5/4/2015
Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed
Webinar Archive
BETWEEN THE CEOs - Executive Interviews
Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders goes head-to-head with long-time Ciena CEO Gary Smith to discuss the impact of the web-scale players, the New IP and 'white box' networks.
Many leading communications companies can claim to have undergone significant periods of reinvention during their histories, but none have been through more major ...
Cats with Phones
Cinco de Mayo Click Here
Cats With Phones says Happy Cinco de Mayo. Accessorize appropriately.