Light Reading

2013 Predictions: CCS Insight

Light Reading
LR Mobile News Feed
Light Reading

Slough, U.K. -- Mobile and telecoms analyst group, CCS Insight, has revealed its top predictions for the mobile and telecoms industry in 2013:

As smartphones start to all look the same, it's what you do with them that counts. Although the look and feel of a mobile phone will still be a factor when people are buying a new device, its importance will be dramatically reduced over the next three years. The experience and the apps on a phone will increasingly be the things consumers care about most.

In 2013, we think some of the most innovative mobile phone experiences will come from newly launched platforms like BlackBerry OS 10 and newcomers like Firefox OS and Tizen. They'll offer fresh ways of doing things with your phone that'll move the whole industry forward. Their innovations will underline why experiences, not hardware, are the future of the smartphone business.

Looking further ahead, we see a world where customers can buy the same phone with different operating systems, whether it's Android, Windows Phone or something else. By 2015 we expect you'll be able to select a design you like and leave the shop with the operating system of your choice.

Internet giants such as Amazon, Facebook and Google all see their future success tied to the mobile market. We expect them and others to ruffle a few feathers in 2013. Amazon's Kindle Fire has already opened up the tablet market, and we expect Amazon to make a move into smartphones in 2013. We predict it'll work with HTC on a range of phone products.

The iPhone's market share will peak in 2014. As Apple's devices become more affordable and commonplace, they'll appeal less to trend-setters. We expect Apple's overall share of the smartphone market to stabilise, despite ever-growing sales of the iPhone.

We predict that by the end of 2014 Google will start to share some of its advertising revenue with companies that make smartphones running Google's Android operating system. This will make Android phones cheaper, helping Google to realise its stated goal of putting "an Android phone in every pocket."

By the end of 2013, the average household in Western Europe and North America is expected to have seven connected devices. Devices are becoming more affordable, with tablets selling for £100 or less. When combined with the continued development of mobile networks, including free public Wi-Fi and the launch of 4G services, demand is set to continue.

The use of mobile and web technologies in business and government will rise sharply over the next three years, as senior positions are filled by digital natives -- people who have grown up with smartphones and access to the Internet. A generational flush will see an influx of these digital natives taking responsible roles, and this will have a profound effect on business processes and policies.

The quality of life in Europe and North America over the next three years will become more and more dependent on levels of Internet literacy. It's no longer about who's online and who isn't, but who can take full advantage of online services and social networks.

More and more people watch TV programs and films on their smartphones, tablets and smart TVs, and we predict sales of set-top boxes in many regions will fall into terminal decline by 2015. This trend is being driven by the wide availability of services like BBC iPlayer, Sky Go, Lovefilm and Netflix.

Established names won't want to miss out on this revolution in the living room. On this basis, CCS Insight expects Microsoft to buy TiVo by mid-2014 and integrate its technology in the next-generation Xbox.

Companies like Facebook and Google hold huge amounts of information about users and their activities. We believe consumer bodies and government watchdogs will take a greater interest in how much service providers know. In response, service providers will have to be much more open about what data they hold and what they do with it.

But this won't stop customers clamouring for mobile access to social networks and Internet services. Multi-device tariffs are likely to become the prevalent way to pay for mobile access in mature markets by 2016. Operators will have to make significant extra investments in billing systems to cope with this new way of charging people according to how many devices they want to connect.

Underlining the UK's interest in advanced mobile services, we predict the country will become the first in Western Europe to spend more on mobile data than on mobile voice services. The UK is one of the front-runners when it comes to mobile data, and this pattern is sure to be repeated across Europe over the next two years.

CCS Insight

(0)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
From The Founder
Steve Saunders provides an overview of white box networking and introduces a new "slim line" version of the OSI 7-layer model.
Flash Poll
Live Streaming Video
CLOUD / MANAGED SERVICES: Prepping Ethernet for the Cloud
Moderator: Ray LeMaistre Panelists: Jeremy Bye, Leonard Sheahan
Wagner’s Ring
How Might Open Source Fail?

11|24|15   |     |   (1) comment

Open source, SDN, and NFV are looking inevitable – but performance, standards proliferation and regulatory capture could derail the movement.
LRTV Custom TV
NFV Lifecycle Orchestration – a Fresh Vision for Telco

11|23|15   |   6.40   |   (0) comments

Simon Osborne, CTO Comptel, and Heavy Reading's Caroline Chappell reveal the business impacts of new SDN and NFV, and what the term service orchestration actually means. Together they define Lifecycle Service Orchestration and how the virtualized future will look for telecoms operators.
Between the CEOs
Cisco's Virtual Role in Saudi

11|20|15   |   12:15   |   (1) comment

Light Reading founder and CEO Steve Saunders talks with Zayan Sadek, Regional Manager at Cisco Systems, about the competitive communications services market and advance of virtualization in Saudi Arabia.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Huawei Leads With Kubernetes for Cloud PaaS

11|19|15   |   08:26   |   (0) comments

Huawei is looking to Kubernetes as a key tool for building robust open source technologies for customers and partners, said Ying Xiong, chief architect of cloud platform at Huawei, in an interview with Light Reading West Coast Bureau Chief Mitch Wagner at the recent Kubecon conference.
Women in Comms Introduction Videos
WiC in London: The Highlight Reel

11|19|15   |   5:33   |   (1) comment

NetCracker's Mervat El Dabae headlines an inspiring morning in London with help from leading women from Vodafone, TalkTalk, Hyperoptics and Ciena.
LRTV Documentaries
Why Saudi's So Hot for New Tech

11|19|15   |   05:07   |   (0) comments

Light Reading's Steve Saunders reports from Saudi Arabia, a hyper-competitive market desperate to embrace the next generation of communications technologies and services.
LRTV Custom TV
Why Data Models Deliver More Value Than Information Models

11|19|15   |   5.08   |   (0) comments

Stefan Vallin argues that more automation is needed to manage end-to-end services and the hybrid networks they run on, and that data models are key to achieving this.
Telecom Innovators Video Showcase
SDN Management & Orchestration in the WAN

11|17|15   |   7.20   |   (0) comments

Carol Wilson and Packet Design CTO Cengiz Alaettinoglu discuss CSPs' SDN service delivery and assurance requirements. Learn about a modular approach to building automated control, orchestration and management functions for the WAN that are policy- and analytics-driven.
LRTV Custom TV
Flash Networks: Optimizing for Radio Spectral Efficiency

11|17|15   |   3:34   |   (0) comments

Today most optimization vendors only focus on optimizing voice or data. Ofer Gottfried, Flash Networks' CTO, shows how improving data throughput and maximizing spectral efficiency reduces capital and operating expenses while also providing a platform for user engagement.
LRTV Custom TV
Making Pay-TV User Experiences Millennial-Friendly

11|16|15   |   6:42   |   (0) comments

The unique challenge of reaching and engaging Millennials is driving pay-TV video experience transformation that can include higher quality UIs, viewing of multiple content streams at once and seamless transitions between handheld devices and the television.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Huawei Electric Power Summit 2015 – Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

11|16|15   |   1:28   |   (0) comments

Huawei, together with Ethiopia's Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, hosted the Huawei Electric Power Summit 2015 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The event gathered industry experts and senior executives of global electric power companies to discuss emerging industry trends including: improvements in new energy conversion efficiency, reduction of line losses ...
Between the CEOs
Mobily on Bringing Innovation to Saudi Arabia

11|13|15   |     |   (2) comments

Mobily CEO Ahmad Farroukh talks to Steve Saunders about the realities of being a mobile operator in Saudi Arabia.
Allot MobileTrends Report H2/2015 reveals how daily online behavior can be used to discover smarter ways to profile customers and propose valuable, real-time offers to them.
Hot Topics
Samsung to Sell Wireless Networking Unit?
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 11/23/2015
Sprint Undercuts Rivals With Half-Price Offers
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 11/18/2015
Routers Are Facing Extinction: Let’s Not Save Them
Scott Sumner, VP solutions marketing, Accedian Networks, 11/18/2015
Sprint, Verizon Face Reorganization, Job Cuts
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 11/20/2015
Sprint to Get $1.2B From New Leasing Venture
Dan Jones, Mobile Editor, 11/23/2015
Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed
December 15, 2015
Virtualizing Cable Services
Webinar Archive
BETWEEN THE CEOs - Executive Interviews
Light Reading founder and CEO Steve Saunders talks with Zayan Sadek, Regional Manager at Cisco Systems, about the competitive communications services market and advance of virtualization in Saudi Arabia.
Mobily CEO Ahmad Farroukh talks to Steve Saunders about the realities of being a mobile operator in Saudi Arabia.
Cats with Phones
Live Digital Audio

Broadband speeds are ramping up across Europe as the continent, at its own pace, follows North America towards a gigabit society. But there are many steps to take on the road to gigabit broadband availability and a number of technology options that can meet the various requirements of Europe’s high-speed fixed broadband network operators. During this radio show we will look at some of the catalysts for broadband network investments and examine the menu of technology options on offer, including vectoring and for copper plant evolution and the various deployment possibilities for FTTH/B.