& cplSiteName &

2013 Predictions: CCS Insight

Light Reading
LR Mobile News Feed
Light Reading
12/28/2012
50%
50%

Slough, U.K. -- Mobile and telecoms analyst group, CCS Insight, has revealed its top predictions for the mobile and telecoms industry in 2013:

As smartphones start to all look the same, it's what you do with them that counts. Although the look and feel of a mobile phone will still be a factor when people are buying a new device, its importance will be dramatically reduced over the next three years. The experience and the apps on a phone will increasingly be the things consumers care about most.

In 2013, we think some of the most innovative mobile phone experiences will come from newly launched platforms like BlackBerry OS 10 and newcomers like Firefox OS and Tizen. They'll offer fresh ways of doing things with your phone that'll move the whole industry forward. Their innovations will underline why experiences, not hardware, are the future of the smartphone business.

Looking further ahead, we see a world where customers can buy the same phone with different operating systems, whether it's Android, Windows Phone or something else. By 2015 we expect you'll be able to select a design you like and leave the shop with the operating system of your choice.

Internet giants such as Amazon, Facebook and Google all see their future success tied to the mobile market. We expect them and others to ruffle a few feathers in 2013. Amazon's Kindle Fire has already opened up the tablet market, and we expect Amazon to make a move into smartphones in 2013. We predict it'll work with HTC on a range of phone products.

The iPhone's market share will peak in 2014. As Apple's devices become more affordable and commonplace, they'll appeal less to trend-setters. We expect Apple's overall share of the smartphone market to stabilise, despite ever-growing sales of the iPhone.

We predict that by the end of 2014 Google will start to share some of its advertising revenue with companies that make smartphones running Google's Android operating system. This will make Android phones cheaper, helping Google to realise its stated goal of putting "an Android phone in every pocket."

By the end of 2013, the average household in Western Europe and North America is expected to have seven connected devices. Devices are becoming more affordable, with tablets selling for £100 or less. When combined with the continued development of mobile networks, including free public Wi-Fi and the launch of 4G services, demand is set to continue.

The use of mobile and web technologies in business and government will rise sharply over the next three years, as senior positions are filled by digital natives -- people who have grown up with smartphones and access to the Internet. A generational flush will see an influx of these digital natives taking responsible roles, and this will have a profound effect on business processes and policies.

The quality of life in Europe and North America over the next three years will become more and more dependent on levels of Internet literacy. It's no longer about who's online and who isn't, but who can take full advantage of online services and social networks.

More and more people watch TV programs and films on their smartphones, tablets and smart TVs, and we predict sales of set-top boxes in many regions will fall into terminal decline by 2015. This trend is being driven by the wide availability of services like BBC iPlayer, Sky Go, Lovefilm and Netflix.

Established names won't want to miss out on this revolution in the living room. On this basis, CCS Insight expects Microsoft to buy TiVo by mid-2014 and integrate its technology in the next-generation Xbox.

Companies like Facebook and Google hold huge amounts of information about users and their activities. We believe consumer bodies and government watchdogs will take a greater interest in how much service providers know. In response, service providers will have to be much more open about what data they hold and what they do with it.

But this won't stop customers clamouring for mobile access to social networks and Internet services. Multi-device tariffs are likely to become the prevalent way to pay for mobile access in mature markets by 2016. Operators will have to make significant extra investments in billing systems to cope with this new way of charging people according to how many devices they want to connect.

Underlining the UK's interest in advanced mobile services, we predict the country will become the first in Western Europe to spend more on mobile data than on mobile voice services. The UK is one of the front-runners when it comes to mobile data, and this pattern is sure to be repeated across Europe over the next two years.

CCS Insight

(0)  | 
Comment  | 
Print  | 
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View        ADD A COMMENT
From The Founder
Light Reading sits down at CES with the head of Cisco's service provider video business, Conrad Clemson, to discuss how NFV and cloud security relate to video, the challenge of managing 4K/8K traffic, the global expansion of Netflix and virtual reality.
Flash Poll
Live Streaming Video
CLOUD / MANAGED SERVICES: Prepping Ethernet for the Cloud
Moderator: Ray LeMaistre Panelists: Jeremy Bye, Leonard Sheahan
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
TeliaSonera: Striving for Independence

2|12|16   |     |   (0) comments


Peter Lagergren discusses the importance of decoupling the network from services.
LRTV Huawei Video Resource Center
Ken Wang on U-vMOS

2|12|16   |     |   (0) comments


Ken Wang discusses how video will take of the traffic on carrier networks and become a basic service to provide to end users.
LRTV Documentaries
All Change in Video

2|11|16   |   33:12   |   (1) comment


At this moderated panel at 2020 Vision in Dublin, Alan Breznick, Cable/Video Practice Leader of Light Reading, sits down with Jeff Finkelstein, director of network architecture at Cox Communications, to discuss the rapidly changing video market.
LRTV Custom TV
Hosting in Ireland, Past & Present

2|10|16   |   16:07   |   (0) comments


Garry Connolly, president of Host in Ireland, presents the keynote at Light Reading's 2020 Vision Executive Summit in Dublin.
Women in Comms Introduction Videos
What's Hot in Mobile Commerce?

2|10|16   |   12:18   |   (1) comment


Claire Maslen, financial services relationship manager at the GSMA, talks about the development of the digital commerce sector and the types of relationships that mobile operators are developing to further their m-commerce strategies.
LRTV Documentaries
EANTC Tests Nokia IP Routing & Mobile Gateway VNFs for Real World Deployment

2|9|16   |   5:08   |   (1) comment


Nokia obtained validation of its virtualized router and virtualized mobile gateway capabilities through rigorous testing performed by EANTC. The results set a new industry benchmark for outstanding performance, scalability, resiliency and manageability. Nokia VNFs are ready for telco cloud deployment, so that service providers can accelerate mobile, business and ...
Between the CEOs
CEO Chat With Level 3's Jack Waters

2|8|16   |   26:15   |   (1) comment


Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders sits down with Level 3 Communications' CTO Jack Waters to discuss hot topics like virtualization, 4K and the future of telecom...
LRTV Custom TV
The Composable Telco

2|8|16   |   24:46   |   (0) comments


Heavy Reading's Principal Analyst Caroline Chappell presents the keynote at Light Reading's 2020 Vision Executive Summit in Dublin.
LRTV Custom TV
Join Us at the Digital Operations Transformation Summit

2|4|16   |   03:52   |   (0) comments


The Digital Operations Transformation Summit on February 21, 2016 at the Crowne Plaza Barcelona Fira Centre will bring together 50 senior executives to engage in a unique debate on the opportunities and challenges presented by the transformative evolving digital landscape. RSVP now at events@lightreading.com.
LRTV Custom TV
Making the Test: ADVA Ensemble Connector vs. Open vSwitch

2|4|16   |   01:28   |   (0) comments


Light Reading, in partnership with EANTC, recently tested ADVA's Ensemble Connector, which replaces open vSwitch and offers carrier-grade capability and interoperability. The test results strengthen ADVA's credibility as a provider in the virtualization space.
LRTV Custom TV
Bridging the Gap Between PoCs & Deployment in NFV

2|4|16   |   31:50   |   (0) comments


Charlie Ashton of Wind River presents the keynote at Light Reading's 2020 Vision executive summit in Dublin.
Between the CEOs
CEO Chat With Mike Aquino

2|3|16   |   17:34   |   (0) comments


The former CEO of Overture Networks, Mike Aquino, discusses why truly open virtualization solutions provide service providers with the greatest choice.
Upcoming Live Events
March 10, 2016, The Cable Center, Denver, CO
April 5, 2016, The Ritz Carlton, Charlotte, NC
May 23, 2016, Austin, TX
May 24-25, 2016, Austin Convention Center, Austin, TX
All Upcoming Live Events
Hot Topics
Yahoo & Verizon Sitting in a Tree...
Brian Santo, Senior editor, Test & Measurement / Components, Light Reading, 2/8/2016
Vodafone: Flexible Work Policies Boost Profits
Sarah Thomas, Editorial Operations Director, 2/8/2016
AT&T Lights Fire Under 5G, Plans 2016 Trials
Iain Morris, News Editor, 2/12/2016
Andreessen Facepalms on Facebook Free Basics
Mitch Wagner, West Coast Bureau Chief, Light Reading, 2/10/2016
It's Time to Integrate OTT Video
Alan Breznick, Cable/Video Practice Leader, 2/8/2016
Like Us on Facebook
Twitter Feed
Webinar Archive
BETWEEN THE CEOs - Executive Interviews
Light Reading CEO and founder Steve Saunders sits down with Level 3 Communications' CTO Jack Waters to discuss hot topics like virtualization, 4K and the future of telecom...
The former CEO of Overture Networks, Mike Aquino, discusses why truly open virtualization solutions provide service providers with the greatest choice.
Live Digital Audio

Broadband speeds are ramping up across Europe as the continent, at its own pace, follows North America towards a gigabit society. But there are many steps to take on the road to gigabit broadband availability and a number of technology options that can meet the various requirements of Europe’s high-speed fixed broadband network operators. During this radio show we will look at some of the catalysts for broadband network investments and examine the menu of technology options on offer, including vectoring and G.fast for copper plant evolution and the various deployment possibilities for FTTH/B.